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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2013 7:32 pm 
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niman wrote:
rymich13 wrote:
On a side note Dr. Niman, do you think most of the cases thus far of older people are cause of they are more susceptible to the disease or just cause of small sample size?

I think that older people don't handle new infections well, so they end up in the hospital where they are tested. Confirmed cases require testing, which has a VERY strong sample bias.


So people in the say 10 to 35 range should handle this just fine?


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2013 8:19 pm 
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rymich13 wrote:
niman wrote:
rymich13 wrote:
On a side note Dr. Niman, do you think most of the cases thus far of older people are cause of they are more susceptible to the disease or just cause of small sample size?

I think that older people don't handle new infections well, so they end up in the hospital where they are tested. Confirmed cases require testing, which has a VERY strong sample bias.


So people in the say 10 to 35 range should handle this just fine?

There are some deaths in the 25-35 age range, but it seems that adolescents do best (no fatalities and several discharges).

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2013 9:17 pm 
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There was an interesting Letter in the latest Eurosurveillance on the higher death rates of both older men and women, men in particular.

Virus-host interactions and the unusual age and sex distribution of human cases of influenza A(H7N9) in China, April 2013 http://fluboard.rhizalabs.com/forum/posting.php?mode=reply&f=5&t=9481


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PostPosted: Mon Apr 29, 2013 2:44 am 
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Location: germany
cases going down:
http://www.uq.edu.au/vdu/Cases-Cumulative-by-area.jpg[/img]
it's also what you read everywhere, WHO,experts,Peiris,Xinhua,CIDRAP,....

i.e. in Shanghai, where it started. Other places just have a 1-2 weeks lag,
expect similar developments as in Shanghai, if they started
poultry culling and closure of wet markets


Attachments:
h7n9b.GIF
h7n9b.GIF [ 17.85 KiB | Viewed 472 times ]

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PostPosted: Mon Apr 29, 2013 3:56 am 
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niman wrote:
rymich13 wrote:
On a side note Dr. Niman, do you think most of the cases thus far of older people are cause of they are more susceptible to the disease or just cause of small sample size?

I think that older people don't handle new infections well, so they end up in the hospital where they are tested. Confirmed cases require testing, which has a VERY strong sample bias.




Susceptibility of old people to this is H3N2 like, is it not?


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PostPosted: Mon Apr 29, 2013 4:18 am 
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Dingo wrote:
niman wrote:
rymich13 wrote:
On a side note Dr. Niman, do you think most of the cases thus far of older people are cause of they are more susceptible to the disease or just cause of small sample size?

I think that older people don't handle new infections well, so they end up in the hospital where they are tested. Confirmed cases require testing, which has a VERY strong sample bias.




Susceptibility of old people to this is H3N2 like, is it not?

Spot On.

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PostPosted: Mon Apr 29, 2013 4:21 am 
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gsgs wrote:
cases going down:
http://www.uq.edu.au/vdu/Cases-Cumulative-by-area.jpg[/img]
it's also what you read everywhere, WHO,experts,Peiris,Xinhua,CIDRAP,....

i.e. in Shanghai, where it started. Other places just have a 1-2 weeks lag,
expect similar developments as in Shanghai, if they started
poultry culling and closure of wet markets

Poultry nonsense blown up again with A/Zhejiang/1/2013 and A/Zhejiang/2/2013.

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PostPosted: Mon Apr 29, 2013 4:27 am 
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niman wrote:
Spot On.


I'm learning. ;)

Does H7N9 have any H3N2 bits in it?


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PostPosted: Mon Apr 29, 2013 4:38 am 
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Dingo wrote:
niman wrote:
Spot On.


I'm learning. ;)

Does H7N9 have any H3N2 bits in it?

Q226I and M230I are in H3N2 and D225G is in H3N2v.

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PostPosted: Mon Apr 29, 2013 5:23 am 
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Location: germany
no mutation jumping, please.

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