Rhiza Labs FluTracker Forum

Please take you "analysis" to the babble boards.

How about Martians?

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www.twitter.com/hniman

Houston had driest March ever, also April

http://thisbluemarble.com/showthread.php?t=36609


La Nina events

many Western states, including Utah, Washington and Colorado,
have long outlawed individuals from collecting rainwater on their
own properties

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !

El Paso is an Chihuahua H1N1 problem, no hand waving / distractions, required.
How about traveling salespersons?

_________________
www.twitter.com/hniman

In addition to the elevated P&I deaths, the total number of deaths in the combined age groups 25-64 have been elevated for the past five weeks, and it is tracking reasonably well with %P&I deaths. This suggests to me that many of the excess P&I deaths are between the ages of 25 and 64.

Week # - %P&I Deaths - %total deaths ages 25-64
Week 15 - 18.3% - 30.5%
Week 16 - 10.3% - 29.5%
Week 17 - 4.0% - 18.2%
Week 18 - 12.0% - 26.9%
Week 19 - 12.7% - 31.4%
Season - 7.7% - 24.1%

Note that in four of the past five weeks both %P&I deaths and %deaths in ages 25-64 have exceeded the season average.

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I used to think I had to understand in order to believe, but then I realized that I had to believe in order to understand. - Augustine

I glanced at the Houston data and didn't see much. The anomoly was the low number of deaths in early 2011, This looks like a reporting issue (not all deaths, regardless of cause, were being recorded). Houston usually has 300-400 deaths per week, as seen in 2010 or more recent weeks in 2011. The P&I frequency was in the single digits, consistant with a national average of 7-8%.
Thus, the quick look did not identify an increase in P&I deaths, just unusually low reporting (for all deaths including P&I) for the beginning of 2011.

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www.twitter.com/hniman

yes, it just caused my attention,
the Houston 2011-anomaly is probably not related to the draught

however I didn't expect such low-reporting things to happen.
It falsifies my statistics. Should they rather give a "U" instead.

Could the drought produce more P+I deaths in El Paso ?
We didn't really see it elsewhere where they also had
drought. Maybe some specialized pneumonia hospital in El Paso

Or maybe the drought produces some nutrition deficiencies
especially in El Paso making them more vulnerable for pneumonia

_________________
no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !

Reality check. If there are "more" P&I deaths in Houston, the % should go up (and stay up). You are taking a non-event (P&I increase) and then adding pure speculation for cause of the non-event (like traveling salesmen causing the increase in Tamiflu resistance).

As noted, you have no scientific background which extends to data analysis at the most basic level.

You continue to clutter the board with utter nonsense.

_________________
www.twitter.com/hniman

starting from week 12 they reported virological results from El Paso County,Tx(population=800647) of which El Paso City(population=649121) is the biggest part.

upto week 12 they had 405 tests, 114 of which were positive for flu-A and 35 were positive for flu-B

between week 12 and week 18
there were 26 new tests in El Paso, 1 of which was positive for flu-A and none was positive for flu-B

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !

EL PASO, TEXAS - THE SAFEST CITY IN THE UNITED STATES

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !

Exactly. The P&I spike was when the lab confirmed cases were low, signaling a much more virulent sub-clade.

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www.twitter.com/hniman