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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2010 8:19 pm 
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Location: East of London
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... l?ITO=1490

Quote:
Swine flu: The 24 known victims this winter may be only a fraction of the true number, admit experts

The 24 lives claimed by swine flu this winter could be a fraction of the true death toll, medical experts admitted yesterday.
The known victims so far include one pregnant woman and nine children.
Last night it emerged that at least one of those killed by swine flu had been vaccinated against the virus.

Over the last seven days the swine flu death rate has risen by 60 per cent and doctors warn it will continue to rise over the next few weeks.

In total 27 people have died from flu this winter, with 24 of these victims of swine flu, or H1N1. The others died from a different strain, known as influenza B.

But many victims die from complications such as a heart attack or pneumonia, so the virus is not recorded on their death certificate.
...............continues

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2010 8:41 pm 
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http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style ... um=twitter

Quote:
Britain's flu death rate is the highest in Europe

By Jeremy Laurance, Health Editor

Britain's winter flu outbreak worsened suddenly last week with 10 new deaths reported, figures published yesterday show. Total deaths since the start of the current outbreak in October now stand at 27, putting the country at the head of the European league.

The Health Protection Agency (HPA) said that 24 of the 27 deaths were from H1N1 swine flu and three from influenza B. The victims included 18 adults under 65 and nine children.

Only one of those who died is known to have had the anti-flu jab. Vaccination rates are low and specialists urged people in at-risk groups, such as children and pregnant women, to have one. The HPA said the vaccine was 70-80 per cent effective and the deaths did not indicate a "vaccine failure"...................

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2010 8:50 pm 
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http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/foot ... 68276.html

Quote:
........We were also due to visit a children's ward at a hospital near Paddington, but unfortunately had to postpone it because of an outbreak of swine flu. I'm hoping to re-arrange it because I think it is good for everyone, players and patients, and I've done it at most of my clubs. It opens your eyes to what a fantastic job the doctors and nurses do, and makes you appreciate how lucky you are to have your health. It always makes you think about your own kids. What I find amazing is it's usually the ones with the most serious problems who always seem to be the ones that have the biggest smiles. .......

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2010 8:55 pm 
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http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... -toll.html

If this is true, we're starting to see the NHS coming under increasing strain.

Quote:
By Sophie Borland
Last updated at 12:00 AM on 24th December 2010

Intensive care units across Britain are almost full as the NHS faces one of the worst flu outbreaks in a decade.

Some hospitals have only one or two life-support machines left and critically ill patients are being transferred by ambulance to other trusts.
Managers are drawing up emergency plans to transform operating theatres into makeshift intensive care departments to cope with the soaring demand.

Spreading fast: Cases of the flu have doubled in the past week, with 17 people dying from the illness
Senior doctors report that they are seeing the highest number of flu cases in more than 20 years and expect the situation to worsen over the coming weeks.

Children’s intensive care units are under particular pressure and some of the largest departments in the country are full.

Hospitals including Great Ormond Street in London, Manchester Children’s, Bristol Children’s and Alder Hey in Liverpool have reached full capacity or have just one or two beds left.

The latest figures show that 302 people – adults and children – are in intensive care because of flu, taking up one in ten of all available beds.

The 24 known victims this winter may be only a fraction of the true number, admit experts
Father-of-four is latest victim of swine flu as health chiefs confirm virus has caused 24 deaths

In addition, 16 of the most seriously ill victims have been placed on heart-lung machines known as ECMOs which take blood out of their body and pump it with oxygen.

Hospital trusts including Nottingham University and Southampton University are cancelling heart surgery and other major operations to make way for a predicted surge in flu cases.

The National Health Service is under increasing strain from the unexpected winter flu outbreak. Yesterday the Daily Mail revealed that the NHS Direct helpline is at ‘breaking point’ as it is besieged by callers.

Dr Bob Winter, president of the Intensive Care Society, who works at University Hospitals Nottingham, said hospitals had drawn up emergency plans to expand intensive care units.

‘Hospitals have escalation plans which involve expanding critical care into areas such as theatre recovery. As far as I am aware no hospital has done this yet but I wouldn’t be surprised if they do over the next few weeks,’ he said.

‘Operating theatres have areas called theatre recovery where patients go following an operation. Nurses in these departments are used to looking after unconscious patients so they can be used to expand intensive care.

‘Our own hospital has cancelled elective surgery that needs critical care and I believe several others have too.’

One leading intensive care doctor said it was the worst flu outbreak he had seen in more than 20 years.

Dr Ian Jenkins, former president of the Paediatric Intensive Care Society, who is based at Bristol Children’s Hospital, said: ‘I’ve never seen this amount of flu in my 20-year career. There are appreciably more cases than last year. We are under pressure.

‘The virus has come back and there are more cases than last year. We are having to move older children into adult ITU units to make room for much younger children.’


It was only a matter of time and will get worse......

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2010 9:12 pm 
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Location: East of London
http://umbr4.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/media ... s2_new.pdf

Page 7 of the article I posted on another thread today, Emergency Preparedness in the event of a pandemic in the UK

Quote:
Internet resilience in the event of an influenza pandemic
Dr Adele-Louise Carter
British Computer Society
In our age, where many businesses rely on technology, what do you do when the services we depend on are put under extreme pressure? Here Dr Adele-Louise Carter of the British Computer Society summarises what would happen to the internet in the event of an influenza pandemic.
It's generally accepted that the internet provides a resilient communications medium in normal operation. Even when extreme events occur, such as the 9/11 attacks in the USA, the internet remained available. As such it has become a key feature of business continuity planning and enables staff to work from outside the office in response to emergencies affecting their business.
Working from home
As part of normal working life many of us work from home. This usually means one or perhaps two days per week, whilst for the rest of the time we are working at our offices or at customer locations.
The internet itself isn’t the only technology that enables this change in working culture; the rapid and widespread adoption of the mobile phone enables the user to stay in voice contact as well. It's these in combinations that have transformed working practices.
Recent experiences in the UK highlight two sides to these technologies. The attacks on London of 7 and 21 July 2005 led to a demand for information. The internet was deemed a prime source of up-to-date news, with the BBC being seen as the source of choice.
The BBC's news site suffered particular stress due to demand and some other sites removed graphics to speed up responses. Some organisations found management unable to access news through the internet as large numbers of their staff swamped corporate networks.
“The attacks on London of 7 and 21 July 2005 led to a demand for information. The internet was deemed a prime source of up-to-date news…”
The supporting mobile phone network did suffer some localised disruption in London, due to the huge peaks in demand and the need to give priority to key responders. Nevertheless, most people were able to receive a sustained service for both internet and voice services.
It's therefore apparent that the internet and the complementary voice networks offer a resilient service for most eventualities. How then, does this relate to pandemic influenza? The UK has four alert states for pandemic influenza which complement the six described by the World Health Organization.
During Alert Level 1 businesses would need to change little, until it became clear there was a pandemic. Only then would we see an increase in the level of traffic as people sought information from official sources.
By levels 3 and 4, companies will need to change as fewer staff come into work. Schools may shut down, to reduce the spread of the disease, which will have an effect on businesses. Some people may simply not want to come into the office for risk of catching the disease.
Impact of pandemic influenza on the internet
The government will clearly use the media to communicate advice but pressure on the NHS will be intense. It plans to refer people to NHS Direct for advice, either online or by telephone. This implies that the website itself will need to be robust to support huge demand. The telephone service should be investigated, given that call agents themselves will be affected too, driving more users online.
A further implication is that the government advice will be deemed inadequate and people will search on the internet for alternative information. One can anticipate that the web rumour mill will work overtime and conspiracy theorists will have a field day, all of which will lead to an uplift in web traffic.

Broadband has expanded across the UK. However, this is based on ADSL which is a contended service with different ratios of subscribers according to the contract
Civil Protection News 7


Quote:
A further implication is that the government advice will be deemed inadequate and people will search on the internet for alternative information One can anticipate that the web rumour mill will work overtime and conspiracy theorists will have a field day, all of which will lead to an uplift in web traffic.[/


Grin :D

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Fri Dec 24, 2010 9:19 am 
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Posts: 5180
Location: East of London
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-12075039

I wish everyone on here a happy & healthy Christmas. I'll be on here most of the day due to the volume of traffic on the newsfeed. Critical time for the UK (and prob the rest of the Northern Hemisphere soon)..

Swine flu fear closes Jubilee Birth Centre as midwives tested for virus

Quote:
Friday, December 24, 2010, 07:00

Swine flu fear closes Jubilee Birth Centre as midwives tested for virus

Outbreak: The Jubilee Birth Centre in Cottingham.EAST Yorkshire's only natural birth centre has closed following a suspected outbreak of swine flu.

The outbreak has led to a shortage of midwives across the hospital trust which runs the Jubilee Birth Centre.
It means staff from the site have been drafted in to work at Hull and East Yorkshire Women and Children's Hospital at Hull Royal Infirmary.

The Jubilee Birth Centre at Castle Hill Hospital, Cottingham, has now been forced to close until further notice.
The situation comes after the Mail recently revealed how the centre could shut its doors permanently, amid staff shortages and lack of funding.

It has previously closed at least 66 times this year due to staff sickness.

The latest disruption has increased fears over the long-term future of the centre.

Phil Morley, chief executive at Hull and East Yorkshire Hospitals NHS Trust, said: "We have had a number of staff who look like they might have flu and, as a precaution, they are not at work.

"If it is swine flu, which is very virulent at the moment, the last place you want them is working with mothers who haven't had their swine flu injections.

"Anybody who looks like they are developing flu symptoms can't work with patients and must go home.

"It is flu that has caused the closure and I won't start looking at the economics of the Jubilee Birth Centre until the New Year."

Midwives who are off work with flu symptoms are now being tested for swine flu.

Community midwives and home birth teams have also been drafted in to cope with staff shortages.

Pregnant women are at greater risk of catching swine flu, which is a respiratory disease.

This is because their immune system is naturally suppressed, and, if they do catch it, they are more likely to develop complications.

Louise Walker, 31, of Patrington, gave birth to her son, Harrison James Walker, at the Jubilee centre in April.

She said she is concerned about the latest closure.

"It's worrying," she said.

"I think it sounds like they will close it permanently and it is really concerning and disappointing.

"It's a shame they can't cope with the situation because of the flu.

"A lot of women will have planned to go to the Jubilee and they will be disappointed."

The trust said outpatient services for pregnant women are unaffected by the closure of the Jubilee Birth Centre and will continue to be offered at Castle Hill Hospital.


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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Fri Dec 24, 2010 9:21 am 
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Posts: 5180
Location: East of London
http://www.thisisgloucestershire.co.uk/ ... ticle.html

Quote:
SWINE flu is still lurking in Gloucestershire as the health service braces itself for a harsh festive period.

Latest data also shows the number of people in the region visiting their GP with flu-like symptoms has increased dramatically in the last few weeks.

According to the Health Protection Agency, in the South West, during the week October 25-31 about five people in every 100,000 visited their GP with flu symptoms
...............................

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Fri Dec 24, 2010 9:22 am 
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Location: East of London
http://www.coventrytelegraph.net/news/n ... -27881562/

Quote:
TEN people are now being treated for swine flu in critical care units across Coventry and Warwickshire.........................


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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Fri Dec 24, 2010 9:28 am 
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Location: East of London
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/healt ... -27879269/

Quote:
WALES’ most senior doctor has urged people to ensure they get the right treatment for illnesses or injuries over Christmas.

Dr Tony Jewell’s plea for people to choose well comes as cases of flu, including swine flu, have quadrupled in the past week.

A total of 28 people with flu and swine flu are being treated in critical care and intensive care units. But patients with flu symptoms are being advised to stay away from A&E units unless they are suffering from breathing problems......................


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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Fri Dec 24, 2010 9:28 am 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
Posts: 27279
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
There has been a 50% rise in the past three days in the number of seriously ill people in hospital with flu, figures show.

Department of Health data from Thursday showed that 460 intensive care beds in England were occupied by flu patients, compared to 302 on Monday.

But the total number of cases is in line with what would be expected.

However, vaccination rates are lower and questions are now being asked whether it was right not to run the annual vaccination advertising campaign.

It is normal for TV and newspaper adverts to run during the autumn, urging at-risk groups to come forward for immunisation. But this year's campaign was scrapped.

Awareness campaign

Dr Richard Vautrey, of the British Medical Association, said: "We wrote to the Department of Health a couple of weeks ago warning about the low uptake. People do not seem to have been taking this year's seasonal flu seriously enough and I think an awareness campaign early on could have helped."

Shadow health secretary John Healey said the government had made the "wrong judgement" in axing the campaign and suggested the decision had directly led to the fall in people coming forward for vaccination.

For anyone with a loved one who is ill from the complications of flu, this is a worrying time.

But there is no evidence that swine flu is getting more virulent, although there is more flu about than this time last year.

Flu viruses kill every winter, predominantly the frail elderly.

Things changed with the advent of swine flu which mostly spares the elderly and causes most serious illness in younger people.

H1N1 remains the dominant flu strain this winter.

It is worth stressing that for the vast majority it causes an unpleasant but mild illness which resolves after a few days bed rest, with plenty of fluids.

Many of those infected have no illness at all.

Read more on Fergus's blog
"The government has backed a public information campaign every year in the last six, investing an annual average of £1.5m. Last year, faced with the swine flu pandemic the last government spent around £15m. The health secretary's decision has left the NHS playing catch-up."

Vaccination rates currently stand at 68.5% for the over 65s and 43% for younger groups that are in the at-risk categories. This is a fall from 70.4% and 48.6% at the same time last year.

It comes amid rising rates of flu. The number of people visiting their GPs with flu more than doubled last week with many among the younger age groups.

What is more, 27 people have died in the UK with flu so far this winter, 24 of which had swine flu which is one of the three flu strains circulating this winter. That compares to nearly 500 who died with swine flu during last year's pandemic.

But this is still within the range that is expected during winter months and while there has been a sharp rise in the numbers in intensive care, the 460 figure still represents less than 14% of the total number of intensive care beds available. The numbers in intensive care are lower in other parts of the UK.

Health Secretary Andrew Lansley said GPs had identifed who needed to come forward for vaccination and were contacting them directly.

But he added: "It is not clear whether an advertising campaign would have made a difference."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-12075039

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