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 Post subject: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 5:08 pm 
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Joined: Thu Oct 29, 2009 4:49 pm
Posts: 44
Location: Cracow, Poland
Does anybody know what's happening on Ukraine? I'm from Poland (the neighbour country) and I hear in the radio that there is an "viral pneumonia epidemy" in western Ukraine. I hear that "people are escaping", "there is no more places in hospitals", "34 people have died", "hundreds of people need to be hospitalised", "the goverment advices people to stay in home", "there is a strange virus epidemy", "there are some confirmed swine flu cases", "people are dying" and "the exact reason of the epidemy is not yet known". I think that the situation is serious.

I attach source information in polish and ukrainian:

http://www.rmf.fm/fakty,164141,Epidemia ... osoby.html

http://rus.newsru.ua/ukraine/29oct2009/karantin.html


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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 5:19 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2009 8:08 am
Posts: 436
No need to panic yet I don't think. It looks like swine flu spreading more rapidly than seen elsewhere so far. So far it doesn't look to me as if the Case Fatality Rate has significantly increased but perhaps the transmissibility has. Needs very close watching though. For comparison Scotland has 5 million people and 26 confirmed deaths against Ukraine's 50 million and 33 suspected deaths.

What does stand out though is that apparently the ILI rate in the Ternopil region is (according to reports) 2500 per 100 thousand which is about 5 times the level reported in Iceland last week (the next highest I can find).


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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 5:19 pm 
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http://www.kyivpost.com/news/nation/detail/51513/

Swine flu fears on rise after numerous deaths
Today at 22:27 | Peter Byrne
Health Ministry is trying to identify the deadly virus that has killed at least 30 people in western Ukraine so far.

An unknown virus is afflicting thousands in western Ukraine, according to health authorities who say at least 30 people have died this month alone from the mysterious ailment. The death toll is expected to grow higher soon.

As of Oct. 29, Ukraine’s Health Ministry had not yet determined whether the recent deaths are related to the global outbreak of the H1N1 "swine flu" virus, but they admitted to sending more than 1,200 doses of Tamiflu, the antiviral drug used to treat H1N1, to western Ukraine.

Thus far, there have been only two confirmed cases of swine flu in Ukraine, according to health officials, who have expressed confidence that the country is ready to combat the virus should an outbreak occur. But fears about the possible onset of a swine flu pandemic in Ukraine increased on Oct. 27 after media reported that a man from Zakarpattya Oblast had died of swine flu complications. The diagnosis has not been confirmed.

“Ukraine’s Health Ministry has convened an emergency team to identify the virus and identify measures to prevent it from spreading,” Health Minister Vasyl Knyazevych said on Oct. 29 during a cabinet meeting.

“Specialists on the team are working around the clock and we are confident that we will be able to identify the cause [of the deaths] on Monday or Tuesday next week and announce preventative measures,” Knyazevych said.

“Some 10 people have perished in Ternopil Oblast, and several in the Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk oblasts,” Deputy Health Minister Oleksandr Bilovol said a day earlier during a press conference in Kyiv. He added that all victims were less than 45 years of age.

“The individuals died of viral pneumonia, the cause of which we have not yet determined,” said Bilovol, adding that health officials are awaiting the results of laboratory tests. “According to our data, the number of deaths due to viral pneumonia is a little higher than last year.”

More than 6,000 people in Ukraine died of pneumonia in 2008, according to Health Ministry statistics, with 400 fatalities registered in the Ternopil, Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk oblasts.

Bilovol said during the press conference that 34 individuals of the 160 patients currently afflicted are in critical condition. He said that most of the people who died waited too long — one week — before seeking medical assistance.

Health officials say they will need several days to determine whether the cases are, indeed, swine flu. In neighboring Russia, meanwhile, the H1N1 virus is definitely making the rounds. Since June, about 1,300 cases of H1N1 have been registered in Russia by health officials, who have urged people not to panic.

“Two women are believed to have died of the influenza A/H1N1 virus,” a spokesman for eastern Siberia’s Chita region said on Oct. 27, adding that official confirmation of the causes of death would only be available in 21 days.

As of Oct. 29, the number of patients in the region diagnosed with swine flu grew to 251, according to Natalya Zhdanova, deputy governor of Chita region. She said seven patients were in critical conditions.

Ukraine has set up a laboratory that can test for the H1N1 virus and more test kits are planned to be purchased. Ukraine’s strategy has been to contain the H1N1 virus and impede its spread among the population by surveillance in airports and train stations.

The H1N1 virus is not usually deadly, but spreads more quickly than usual flu because it’s a new virus against which people have not yet built immunity.

According to the World Health Organization, 2 percent of patients sick with H1N1 come to hospitals with complications. People with lung and heart conditions, diabetes, obesity, pregnant women, elderly and very young children are in the high-risk groups.

U.S. President Barack Obama on Oct. 25 declared a national emergency as the estimated number of swine flu cases topped one million. During a visit to Ukraine weeks ago, U.S. health officials urged their Ukrainian counterparts to boost preparations for combating a possible H1N1 epidemic, warning that it’s only a matter of time before the country would be hit. Experts have also expressed concern about the ability of Ukraine’s dilapidated and under-financed health system to contain a serious outbreak.


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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 6:28 pm 
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Location: Cracow, Poland
Seems that there is a quarantine in Ternopil, Lviv and Ivanko-Frankivsk region now. Schools are closed.


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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 4:42 am 
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Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 3:28 am
Posts: 587
Location: Netherlands
Another 5 deaths in Ukraine..

It looks like a Mutation....
[url]
http://translate.google.com/translate?h ... l%2F201553[/url]

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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 5:05 am 
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[quote] Ministère de la Santé: En Ukraine a enregistré épidémie de grippe A (H1N1) (complété).
RBC-Ukraine, 30.10.2009, Kiev, 10:52
En Ukraine, enregistré épidémie de l'influenza A hautement pathogène (H1N1). Ce fut lors de la conférence de presse d'aujourd'hui, le ministre de la Santé Vasyl Knyazevich, le correspondant de RBC-Ukraine. Selon lui, dans deux laboratoires ont confirmé ce diagnostic - enregistré 11 cas de 33 échantillons.

V. Knyazevich a noté que de 21 échantillons Yeyi qui ont été étudiées à l'Institut de pneumologie et physiatrie eux. Zahvorennya Janowski 7 cas confirmés de grippe A (N1N1). Sur les 12 échantillons, qui a étudié les SES, zahvorennya confirmé quatre cas de grippe A (N1N1).
[/ quote]
http://www.rbc.ua/ukr/newsline/show/min ... o_30102009


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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 6:24 am 
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Joined: Thu Oct 29, 2009 4:49 pm
Posts: 44
Location: Cracow, Poland
It looks more and more serious every hour. There is no more free places in hospitals. They are planning to use military medical forces and make a quarantine for the whole country. Poland-Ukraine border (EU border) is still open, but there is increased medical control there.


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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 7:50 am 
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Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
Wszebor wrote:
It looks more and more serious every hour. There is no more free places in hospitals. They are planning to use military medical forces and make a quarantine for the whole country. Poland-Ukraine border (EU border) is still open, but there is increased medical control there.

There have been some denials of swine flu, but descriptions sound like swine flu and many areas are reporting swine flu. The number of deaths appears to be high, but so far only limited information has come out.

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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 7:53 am 
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Posts: 56044
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
Ukraine on Friday closed schools, banned all public events and imposed restrictions on people's movements around the country for a three-week period after confirming its first death from H1N1 swine flu.

"All educational institutions without exception ... will be switched on to a three-week holiday period," Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko announced. She indicated this period could be extended if it was deemed necessary.

"Apart from this, we will take the decision to cancel all mass meetings ... for three weeks," she said at an emergency government session.

"We will introduce a special system to stop unnecessary travel by people from one region to another," she added.

Earlier, the health ministry confirmed that one of 30 deaths in western Ukraine since mid-October which had been attributed to flu and pneumonia had been caused by the H1N1 strain, commonly known as swine flu.

"So far, not all the dead were tested (for H1N1)," a health ministry spokeswoman said. "However, tests on one dead (person) proved positive."

"We are considering (imposing) a quarantine not only in the west, but also across the country because the virus is spreading very fast," Health Minister Vasyl Knyazevych told a news conference, without giving details.

http://www.forexyard.com/en/reuters_inn ... DATE-1-PIX

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 Post subject: Re: situation on Ukraine
PostPosted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 7:54 am 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
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Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
Ukraine’s health minister has announced a state of emergency after thirty-three people died from unknown flu virus in western Ukraine, near the Polish border.



Schools have been shut and people have been asked to avoid public places. The Polish-Ukrainian border has not been shut yet but Poland’s Health Minister Ewa Kopacz is considering closing border crossings if the virus turns out to be dangerous for Poles.



Almost one thousand people, mainly from the Ternopil, Ivano-Frankivsk and Lviv Regions, infected with a virus have been hospitalized, including almost 500 children. Hundreds of people have been referred to medical centres and clinics with flu symptoms.



Preliminary tests have shown that eleven, out of thirty-three fatal victims, have died from swine flu.



“Unfortunately, we have to state that an A/H1N1 flu epidemic has in fact started in Ukraine," said Kniazevych at a press conference. Ukraine’s Health Ministry is planning to impose quarantine in the whole country.



The news has caused a panic in Ukraine. People are buying up anti flu medicines, vaccines and masks. As Ukrainian chemist's' are running out of stock, some Ukrainians are going to Poland to get necessary medications. Ukrainian hospitals, which are being stormed by people, will probably have to ask medicine students for help.

http://polskieradio.pl/thenews/internat ... raine.html

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