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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 11:53 am 
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Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
CopitoSP wrote:
Exactly, there's no information available for the other five victims. Right now, we know that 5 out of 10 were unvaccinated and for the rest of the dead vaccination status remains unknown.


OK. So looks like the Daily Mail are currently 'putting spin' on the story.....?

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... z17qMAjpMi
Swine flu is back: Virus has killed 10 in the last six weeks and its spreading to Europe
By Rob Cooper
Last updated at 1:18 PM on 11th December 2010

(This article doesn't state if they were vaccinated or not)

BUT THEN

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... demic.html
Ten deaths raise fears of a new swine flu epidemic
By Jo Macfarlane
Last updated at 1:25 AM on 12th December 2010

It is not known whether the victims died as a result of swine flu or because of complications related to their other conditions. Five of the ten adults had received the flu vaccine
(This article states that 5/10 were vaccinated)

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 4:06 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 2:33 pm
Posts: 2826
:hello: RoRo FTs

Quote:
The reporter in the story in post #13[Flutrackers] incorrectly states;
"Five of the ten adults had received the flu vaccine."

This is not what has been reported by the HPA. The HPA reports that vaccination information was available only for 5 cases and that each of those was unvaccinated. There is no available information on the other 5.

"None of the five fatal cases with information available had received the 2010/11 seasonal influenza, or the 2009 monovalent pandemic influenza vaccine."


HPA link - Health Protection Agency

http://www.hpa.org.uk/web/HPAwebFile/HP ... 7146267647
page 3 of 4

Quote:
Since week 36, ten deaths associated with
influenza infection have been reported in the UK.[b] None of the five
fatal cases with information available had received the 2010/11
seasonal influenza, or the 2009 monovalent pandemic influenza
vaccine.


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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 5:57 pm 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/211241.php

Quote:
.............18 out of 89 cases of flu that were reported by GPs (general practitioners, primary care physicians) over the last seven days have been confirmed as H1N1 infections..................


NHS Direct Syndromic Surveillance Bulletin for the UK

http://www.hpa.org.uk/hpr/infections/primarycare.htm

The NHS Direct Syndromic Surveillance Bulleting is also on another thread which I update weekly on a Friday (last report I posted was Friday 10th Dec).

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 7:15 pm 
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http://www.promedmail.org/pls/otn/f?p=2 ... 1000,86201

Quote:
Archive Number 20101212.4418
Published Date 12-DEC-2010
Subject PRO/AH/EDR> Influenza (18): WHO update, UK

INFLUENZA (18): WHO UPDATE, UNITED KINGDOM
********************************************
A ProMED-mail post
<http://www.promedmail.org>
ProMED-mail is a program of the
International Society for Infectious Diseases
<http://www.isid.org>

In this report:
[1] WHO update 122
[2] H1N1 in the UK

******
[1] WHO update 122
Date: Fri 3 Dec 2010
Source: World Health Organisation (WHO), Global Alert and Response
(GAR), Influenza [abbreviated & edited]
<http://www.who.int/csr/disease/influenza/2010_12_03_GIP_surveillance/en/index.html>


Influenza update 122 -- 3 Dec 2010
-----------------------------------
Summary: Worldwide, influenza activity remained low, except in areas
of South Asia and central and western Africa, which have seen recent
surges in influenza H1N1 (2009) virus detections. As the northern
hemisphere winter approaches, with few exceptions, most countries in
the temperate zone of the northern hemisphere continued to report low
levels of ILI [influenza-like illness] and influenza virus
detections. Except for a few countries in Southeast Asia, most
countries in the tropics of the Americas and Asia have recently
reported low levels of influenza activity. Globally, there continued
to be co-circulation of influenza H1N1 (2009), A(H3N2), B viruses,
with the latter 2 being predominant.

Countries in the temperate zone of the Northern Hemisphere
------------------------
In North America, overall influenza activity and levels of ILI
remained below baseline. Notably, however, in the southeastern part
of the United States, influenza activity has steadily increased over
the month of November 2010; in the southwestern region, as of the 3rd
week of November 2010, approximately 17 percent of respiratory
specimens tested positive for influenza, including both influenza
A(H3N2) and B viruses, with the later being predominant.

Most countries of the European region continued to report low overall
levels of ILI and low to sporadic levels of influenza virus
detections. In Bulgaria and the Russian Federation, a medium
intensity of respiratory diseases activity was reported; however, it
is not yet known if these increases were associated with circulation
of influenza viruses.

In East Asia, overall influenza activity remained low across China,
Japan, and the Republic of Korea. In northern China, the number of
respiratory specimens testing positive for influenza (primarily
influenza A(H3N2)) increased between late October and mid-November
2010; however, the increase in the detection rate was associated with
only a small rise the levels of ILI. Mongolia, during mid to late
November 2010, reported an increase in the detection rate of
influenza A(H3N2) viruses, which was associated with an increase in
the rate of ILI above the seasonal threshold, suggesting that the
local winter influenza season has begun.

Countries in the temperate zone of the Southern Hemisphere
-------------------------------
Overall, little influenza activity is being reported as the summer
months approach in countries of the temperate Southern Hemisphere.
Late season and regionally variable epidemics of influenza A(H3N2)
virus in Chile and Argentina now appear to have largely subsided. In
South Africa, influenza activity has also largely subsided after a
period of low level springtime circulation of influenza B and H1N1
(2009) viruses detected in the sentinel ILI surveillance system
during November 2010.

Countries in the tropical zone
-----------------------------
In South Asia, only Sri Lanka reported a recent surge of influenza
H1N1 (2009) virus detections during mid-October through late November
2010; however, to date there have not been reports of unusual
clinical severity of cases. In India and Bangladesh, influenza
activity observed during recent months has now largely subsided. In
Southeast Asia, several countries continued to report low to moderate
levels of influenza A(H3N2) virus detections.

In Sub-Saharan Africa, overall influenza activity remained low in
most countries, except in Cameroon and Ethiopia, which as of early to
mid- November 2010, reported a recent surge in the numbers of
specimens testing positive for H1N1 (2009) virus [18 (69 percent) of
26 specimens testing positive in Ethiopia and 18 (23 percent) of 79
specimens testing positive in Cameroon]. The extent to which these
increased detections of influenza virus have been associated with
increased ILI in the community is not yet known. Across the rest of
the region, low to moderate levels of influenza A(H3N2) virus
circulation continued to be detected in Kenya and Ghana, respectively.

In the tropical zone of the Americas, overall influenza activity
remained low to sporadic in most areas. In Costa Rica, influenza
A(H3N2) and B viruses continued to co-circulate at low levels during
November 2010. In Columbia, small numbers of influenza H1N1 (2009)
viruses were detected during November 2010. In Bolivia, sustained
active circulation of influenza A(H3N2) viruses has been observed
since mid-September 2010. In Cuba, there has been a fluctuating low
to moderate level circulation of influenza A(H3N2) viruses since
early August 2010. In southern Mexico, influenza activity has largely
subsided after a period of active influenza A(H3N2) circulation
spanning August to mid-November 2010.

Virological surveillance
----------------------
In general, influenza virus activity remained low worldwide, with
influenza A(H3N2) predominating.

FluNet reports
--------------
During weeks 45 to 46 (7 to 20 Nov 2010), National Influenza Centres
(NICs) from 52 countries reported data to FluNet. A total of 1299
specimens were reported as positive for influenza viruses, 932 (71.7
percent) were typed as influenza A, 367 (28.3 percent) as influenza
B. Of the sub-typed influenza A viruses reported, 29.5 percent were
influenza H1N1(2009), and 69.6 percent were influenza A(H3N2). In
addition, very few old seasonal A(H1N1) viruses were detected, and
one A(H5N1) virus infection in a human was confirmed by laboratory.

Influenza virus detection by type/subtype in countries:
----------------------------------
- Influenza H1N1 (2009): Algeria, Australia, Brazil, Cambodia,
Cameroon, China, Denmark, Ethiopia, Georgia, Ghana, Japan, Kenya, Lao
People's Democratic Republic, Madagascar, Netherlands, Oman, Republic
of Korea, Romania, Russian Federation, South Africa, Sri Lanka,
United States of America.

- Influenza A(H3N2): Algeria, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Cambodia,
Cameroon, Canada, Chile, China, French Guiana, Ghana, Guadeloupe,
Iran, Japan, Kenya, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Madagascar,
Mongolia, Oman, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation, Slovenia,
South Africa, United States of America.

- Influenza A(H1N1): Canada, China

- Influenza B: Algeria, Armenia, Australia, Belgium , Brazil,
Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Chile, China, France, Guadeloupe, Iran,
Kenya, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Luxemburg, Madagascar ,
Norway, Oman, Russian Federation, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Sweden,
Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States of America.

- No influenza activity reported: Albania, Austria, Azerbaijan,
Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, El Salvador, Estonia,
Finland, Germany, Greece, Honduras, Hungary, India, Italy,
Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Martinique, Mexico, Poland, Portugal,
Rwanda, Serbia, Spain, Tunisia, Turkey, and Ukraine.

--
Communicated by:
ProMED-mail <promed@promedmail.org>

[The format of the WHO influenza updates has changed, and interested
readers should consult the original document via the URL in the
heading to view the graphical presentation of the data.

As of Fri 3 Dec 2010, the overall message is that influenza virus
activity remained low worldwide, with influenza A(H3N2)
predominating. However, the report from the UK posted below suggests
that changes are in prospect. - Mod.CP]

******
[2] H1N1 in the UK
Date: Sat 11 Dec 2010
Source: The Independent newspaper [abbreviated & edited]
<http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-families/health-news/doctors-shocked-by-spread-of-swine-flu-ndash-and-its-severity-2157407.html>


The swine flu virus [Influenza A(H1N1) 2009 influenza virus] that
swept the world last year [2009] causing a global health emergency
has returned to claim the lives of 10 adults in the UK in the past 6
weeks. The 10 deaths were in younger adults under 65 and associated
with H1N1 swine flu. Most had underlying conditions but "a small
proportion" were healthy before being struck down by the virus,
according to the Health Protection Agency (HPA). Seasonal flu
normally causes severe illness and death in the elderly. The H1N1
swine flu virus targets pregnant women, younger adults, and those
with chronic conditions, making it a cause of particular alarm. No
other similar reports of deaths linked with swine flu have been
received from elsewhere in Europe. Official figures show GP
consultations for flu- like illness in England were at 13.3 per 100
000 population last week, well below baseline levels.

Flu experts expressed surprise at the relatively high incidence of
deaths and severe illness in the context of the low consultation
rates. John Watson, head of respiratory diseases at the Health
Protection Agency, said: "We seem to be in the vanguard on this.
Other European countries are just beginning to see some H1N1
activity."

Around 30 per cent of those who fell ill who went to their GP and got
tested for the virus were coming up positive for H1N1, which was a
high rate.

Flu is very difficult to predict, Dr Watson added. "I am a little
surprised to see as much activity as we seem to be seeing, both in
terms of its spread in the community and its severity. I don't see it
as being extraordinary, but it is more than I would have expected."

All parts of the country are affected, with deaths reported from each
region, according to the HPA. There were 9 flu outbreaks last week, 8
in schools and one in an army barracks in Yorkshire. Pressure has
been building on intensive care in recent days with the worst
affected patients treated on Extra-Corporeal Membrane Oxygenation
(ECMO) machines which bypass the lungs to artificially oxygenate the
blood. "A good many intensive care units are seeing severely ill
cases, including some using ECMO beds," Dr Watson said.

Swine flu [influenza A/(H1N1) 2009 virus infection] arrived last year
[2009] from Mexico creating the 1st flu pandemic for 40 years. In the
UK, the 1st wave of the pandemic struck in the summer -- unusually
for flu -- followed by a 2nd smaller wave before Christmas.

Dr Watson said: "A lot of people were infected through the 2 waves of
the last pandemic. We estimate something like 2/3rds of children and
a half of adults are likely to have been infected, even though they
may have had no symptoms. "We wouldn't anticipate a big epidemic wave
of flu activity due to H1N1 this year [2010]. But there are still a
substantial number of people who remain susceptible." Many who caught
swine flu last year suffered only minor illness, but a small number
were severely ill. There were 494 deaths in the year to April 2010.

The fear among flu experts is that the virus could mutate to cause
more severe illness or target a different section of the population,
such as the elderly who are more vulnerable. But laboratory analysis
has shown that the circulating strain of the virus is "very much the
same" as last year [2009] and has not shown "any significant change,"
according to the HPA.


Five of the 10 adults who died for whom information was available had
not received the flu vaccine, the HPA said.
National figures show
vaccination rates are lower than in previous years, covering 66 per
cent of the over-65s and 40 per cent of younger adults at risk
(pregnant women and those with chronic diseases such as asthma).

Professor David Salisbury, director of immunisation at the Department
of Health said: "These figures demonstrate that the effects of flu
are not to be underestimated. It is not the same as getting a cold
and can seriously affect your health. "The seasonal flu jab protects
against the dominant strains; this year [2010], it protects against 3
types of flu, including the type known as swine flu. If you are in a
risk group, then I would urge you to visit your GP surgery and get
the vaccination as soon as possible. It is not too late to get
vaccinated for your protection and that of your family."

In addition to H1N1 swine flu, which has become the dominant
influenza A virus in Britain, about 40 per cent of virus strains
isolated this winter [2010-2011] are influenza B, which is most
common in children, causes mostly mild illness, and has been
responsible for several outbreaks in schools in recent weeks. The
last year in which it caused widespread illness was 2005-6. "There is
plenty of B about," Dr Watson said.

[Byline: Jeremy Laurance]

--
Communicated by:
ProMED-mail Rapporteurs Mary Marshall and Corr. Susan Baekeland

[Time will tell whether this an alarmist piece of journalism or a
portent of things to come. - Mod.CP]

[see also:
Influenza (17): Canada (MB), 1st nation 20101203.4341
Influenza (16): Zimbabwe (MV) 20101126.4274
Influenza (15): WHO update 20101124.4243
Influenza (14): swine origin (tr) H3N2 viruses 20101112.4117
Influenza (13): WHO update 20101111.4092
Influenza (06): WHO update 116 20100912.3295]
..................................................cp/sb/msp/lm

*##########################################################*
************************************************************
ProMED-mail makes every effort to verify the reports that
are posted, but the accuracy and completeness of the
information, and of any statements or opinions based
thereon, are not guaranteed. The reader assumes all risks in
using information posted or archived by ProMED-mail. ISID
and its associated service providers shall not be held
responsible for errors or omissions or held liable for any
damages incurred as a result of use or reliance upon posted
or archived material.
************************************************************
Donate to ProMED-mail. Details available at:
<http://www.isid.org/ProMEDMail_Donations.shtml>
************************************************************
Visit ProMED-mail's web site at <http://www.promedmail.org>.
Send all items for posting to: promed@promedmail.org (NOT to
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'Very much the same' is not 'exactly the same'????? The jury is still out, but that's just my opinion.

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 7:55 pm 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
http://apps.facebook.com/lemsipcoldtracker/

Member login required. This is unverifiable data, people just add themselves to whatever region they live in if they are suffering from cold and flu symptoms.

Number 1 North West

400,182 people 13.4% more than last week

Number 2 Midlands

319,557 people 127.2% more than last week

Number 3 London

301,444 people which is 3.4% less than last week

People could just bump up the numbers in their region just to beat others.

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 11:25 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
Posts: 56044
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
It's back!

Health officials in Britain said the Swine Flu virus, which stirred fears of a global pandemic last year, has returned and killed ten people there in the last six weeks, Reuters reported.

"Over the last few weeks, we have seen a rise in the number of cases of seasonal flu both H1N1 (2009) and flu B in the community," Professor John Watson, the head of Britain's Health Protection Agency's respiratory diseases department, said in a statement.

"We have also received reports of patients with serious illness requiring hospitalization and outbreaks of flu in schools across the country," he said.

The HPA said all of the people who died from the virus were under 65 and that while some had other health issues, others were healthy before contracting swine flu.

The World Health Organization declared the swine flu pandemic over in August, but Britain appears to be at the "vanguard" of a new outbreak, and other European countries have seen some swine flu cases as well, Watson told British newspaper The Independent.

Britain was one of the first countries hit by swine flu after it emerged out of Mexico last year and created the first flu pandemic in four decades. At one point, the U.K. recorded more than 100,000 new cases a week.

The Independent reported that 494 people in Britain died from swine flu from January to April last year. The virus killed thousands more worldwide.

A spokesperson for the HPA said there had been a slight bump in the number of flu cases being reported at doctor's offices in Britain, but that the increase wasn't unusual during the flu season.

Scientific analysis showed that the new strain of the virus was the same as the strain that struck last year, according to The Independent.



Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/world/2 ... z17xURYPlI

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Mon Dec 13, 2010 9:08 am 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/health-new ... -22779939/

Quote:
Home News Health News Fears for new swine flu outbreak as 10 dead in six weeks
13/12/2010

Swine flu has hit Britain again with 10 people dying in the past six weeks.

Several others are ­seriously ill in hospital and officials fear the virus is spreading.

Of the 10 who died – all adults under 65 – most had ­underlying health problems.

Half had been given the flu vaccine which included protection against H1N1.

The Health Protection Agency has warned that flu activity is “increasing”.
There have been 31 outbreaks since October – including eight in schools and one at a military base.

Experts believe the country is better prepared this year, but the Department of Health said yesterday: “It is vital we don’t underestimate this.”

Since emerging in Mexico last year, the virus has killed more than 15,000 with mums-to-be particularly at risk.



Well, here we go again, Mirror now saying that half had been vaccinated. :confused:

Call to the HPA maybe required here.

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Mon Dec 13, 2010 9:39 am 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
Posts: 56044
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
stephensons wrote:
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/health-news/2010/12/13/fears-for-new-swine-flu-outbreak-as-10-dead-in-six-weeks-115875-22779939/

Quote:
Home News Health News Fears for new swine flu outbreak as 10 dead in six weeks
13/12/2010

Swine flu has hit Britain again with 10 people dying in the past six weeks.

Several others are ­seriously ill in hospital and officials fear the virus is spreading.

Of the 10 who died – all adults under 65 – most had ­underlying health problems.

Half had been given the flu vaccine which included protection against H1N1.

The Health Protection Agency has warned that flu activity is “increasing”.
There have been 31 outbreaks since October – including eight in schools and one at a military base.

Experts believe the country is better prepared this year, but the Department of Health said yesterday: “It is vital we don’t underestimate this.”

Since emerging in Mexico last year, the virus has killed more than 15,000 with mums-to-be particularly at risk.



Well, here we go again, Mirror now saying that half had been vaccinated. :confused:

Call to the HPA maybe required here.

I doubt that a call would change anything. Media reports are based on health agency reports/press releases. In this case 5 deaths were in patients not vaccinated and 5 were in patients with an unknown vaccination status.

Media relations will NOT add new information. They may clarify some misconceptions, but they don't have new info (like an update of the 5 unknown) and even if they did, they would not be authorized to release that data.

My guess is the best that would come from a call would be a restatement of the written HPA report (5 unvaccinated and 5 unknown).

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Mon Dec 13, 2010 9:42 am 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
niman wrote:
stephensons wrote:
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/health-news/2010/12/13/fears-for-new-swine-flu-outbreak-as-10-dead-in-six-weeks-115875-22779939/

Quote:
Home News Health News Fears for new swine flu outbreak as 10 dead in six weeks
13/12/2010

Swine flu has hit Britain again with 10 people dying in the past six weeks.

Several others are ­seriously ill in hospital and officials fear the virus is spreading.

Of the 10 who died – all adults under 65 – most had ­underlying health problems.

Half had been given the flu vaccine which included protection against H1N1.

The Health Protection Agency has warned that flu activity is “increasing”.
There have been 31 outbreaks since October – including eight in schools and one at a military base.

Experts believe the country is better prepared this year, but the Department of Health said yesterday: “It is vital we don’t underestimate this.”

Since emerging in Mexico last year, the virus has killed more than 15,000 with mums-to-be particularly at risk.



Well, here we go again, Mirror now saying that half had been vaccinated. :confused:

Call to the HPA maybe required here.

I doubt that a call would change anything. Media reports are based on health agency reports/press releases. In this case 5 deaths were in patients not vaccinated and 5 were in patients with an unknown vaccination status.

Media relations will NOT add new information. They may clarify some misconceptions, but they don't have new info (like an update of the 5 unknown) and even if they did, they would not be authorized to release that data.

My guess is the best that would come from a call would be a restatement of the written HPA report (5 unvaccinated and 5 unknown).


Yes, I see your point. MMS........!

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Mon Dec 13, 2010 10:04 am 
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Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
niman wrote:
stephensons wrote:
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/health-news/2010/12/13/fears-for-new-swine-flu-outbreak-as-10-dead-in-six-weeks-115875-22779939/

Quote:
Home News Health News Fears for new swine flu outbreak as 10 dead in six weeks
13/12/2010

Swine flu has hit Britain again with 10 people dying in the past six weeks.

Several others are ­seriously ill in hospital and officials fear the virus is spreading.

Of the 10 who died – all adults under 65 – most had ­underlying health problems.

Half had been given the flu vaccine which included protection against H1N1.

The Health Protection Agency has warned that flu activity is “increasing”.
There have been 31 outbreaks since October – including eight in schools and one at a military base.

Experts believe the country is better prepared this year, but the Department of Health said yesterday: “It is vital we don’t underestimate this.”

Since emerging in Mexico last year, the virus has killed more than 15,000 with mums-to-be particularly at risk.



Well, here we go again, Mirror now saying that half had been vaccinated. :confused:

Call to the HPA maybe required here.

I doubt that a call would change anything. Media reports are based on health agency reports/press releases. In this case 5 deaths were in patients not vaccinated and 5 were in patients with an unknown vaccination status.

Media relations will NOT add new information. They may clarify some misconceptions, but they don't have new info (like an update of the 5 unknown) and even if they did, they would not be authorized to release that data.

My guess is the best that would come from a call would be a restatement of the written HPA report (5 unvaccinated and 5 unknown).


Just made a call to the Press Office at the HPA. Just as you said Dr N, 5 that were eligible for the the vaccination didn't receive it and the vaccination status of the other 5 is not known. HPA are aware that the press have misconstrued the story and several calls have been made to them due to conflicting reports. They will clarify this in a statement shortly.

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