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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sat Dec 11, 2010 6:15 pm 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
niman wrote:
The swine flu virus which swept across Britain last year is back and has killed 10 adults in the last six weeks, it emerged today.

Some of the people who have died did not have underlying health conditions when they were hit by the illness.
A father-of-three, aged in his 30s, was on a life support machine today after being struck down by the H1N1 virus.
The Royal Mail worker was being treated at Southport and Formby District General Hospital, Merseyside, and was expected to be moved for specialist treatment.
This winter swine flu has travelled to other European countries who are seeing outbreaks of the virus for the first time.
The 10 people who have died were all adults under 65 and most, but not all, had some underlying health conditions, the Health Protection Agency said.
Experts today expressed surprise at the number of deaths caused by the H1N1 virus this winter.
But crucially the bug has not mutated into a more severe form or targeted the elderly who are most at risk from the virus.
However there have been a significant number of calls to NHS Direct - indicating there is quite a lot of swine flu around.

More...Norovirus cases soar as hospital outbreaks increase by 50 per cent in a month

Doctor John Watson, head of respiratory diseases at the Health Protection Agency said: 'We seem to be in the vanguard on this. Other European countries are just beginning to see some H1N1 activity.
Swine flu: Pregnant Denise Murray who was killed by the bug in Scotland last year
'I am a little surprised to see as much activity as we seem to be seeing - both in terms of its spread in the community and its severity.
'I don't see it as being extraordinary but it is more than I would have expected.'
He added that that many people caught swine flu in the pandemic in the summer last year - but relatively few were affected.
There was a second smaller outbreak just before Christmas.

'A lot of people were infected through the two waves of the last pandemic. We estimate something like two thirds of children and half of adults are likely to have been infected even though they may have had no symptoms,' he said.
'We wouldn't anticipate a big epidemic wave of flu activity due to H1N1 this year. But there are still a substantial number of people who remain susceptible.'
There were 494 deaths from swine flu in Britain between the initial outbreak and April this year.
The number of people getting immunised against flu has fallen this winter - with 66 per cent of pensioners and 40 per cent of at risk adults getting the jab.
Professor David Salisbury, director of immunisation at the Department of Health, told the Independent: 'These figures demonstrate the effects of fly are not to be underestimated It is not the same as getting a cold and can seriously affect your health.
'The seasonal flu jab protects against the dominant strains - this year it protects against three types of flu, including the type known as swine flu.
'If you are in a risk group, then I would urge you to visit your GP surgery and get the vaccination as soon as possible. It is not too late to get vaccinated for your protection and that of your family.'


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... z17qMAjpMi



Dr. N, I came across this article as well. Norovirus is sweeping schools and hospital wards across the UK and believe the flu is not far behind (or is here already as the case maybe). I phoned NHS Direct tonight as my lungs now hurt where I have been coughing so much. The phlegm is disappearing but have this ache below my ribs to the left and right hand side. Voice is still hoarse as well. NHS direct said contact my GP Monday, good one, and told me to take paracetomol. I don't why I even bothered calling them. If the UK is going to take the centre stage for the flu at the moment I wouldn't like to know what the rest of the cast look like.

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sat Dec 11, 2010 6:53 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
Posts: 56044
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
Commentary

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/12111 ... Fatal.html

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sat Dec 11, 2010 8:00 pm 
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Joined: Thu Dec 10, 2009 1:14 pm
Posts: 548
niman wrote:


Yes, I totally agree with you.

A point worthy of mention, mutations at position D222G and E391K don't have a great impact in the HA, so detecting these variants requires to sequence.

I think The WHO said that the pandemic was over because of governments and media pressure. Post-pandemic phase is almost the same in surveillance/laboratory terms and preparation for new severe outbreaks.

---

Spain is recording more pH1N1 cases and one death in last week (48), the victim was a man of 42 without risk factors, he died of multi-organ failure on 1 Dec after being hospitalized on 29 Nov. Egypt is reporting more pH1N1 cases in the last week with some of them needing hospitalization or resulting in death. Finland is reporting several outbreaks in the military and civilian population in at least two different and well separated regions, no more information/data is known. That country has high rate of immunization, so this would signal a new H1N1 variant is emerging and evolving rapidly.


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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sat Dec 11, 2010 9:42 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
Posts: 56044
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
stephensons wrote:
niman wrote:
The swine flu virus which swept across Britain last year is back and has killed 10 adults in the last six weeks, it emerged today.

Some of the people who have died did not have underlying health conditions when they were hit by the illness.
A father-of-three, aged in his 30s, was on a life support machine today after being struck down by the H1N1 virus.
The Royal Mail worker was being treated at Southport and Formby District General Hospital, Merseyside, and was expected to be moved for specialist treatment.
This winter swine flu has travelled to other European countries who are seeing outbreaks of the virus for the first time.
The 10 people who have died were all adults under 65 and most, but not all, had some underlying health conditions, the Health Protection Agency said.
Experts today expressed surprise at the number of deaths caused by the H1N1 virus this winter.
But crucially the bug has not mutated into a more severe form or targeted the elderly who are most at risk from the virus.
However there have been a significant number of calls to NHS Direct - indicating there is quite a lot of swine flu around.

More...Norovirus cases soar as hospital outbreaks increase by 50 per cent in a month

Doctor John Watson, head of respiratory diseases at the Health Protection Agency said: 'We seem to be in the vanguard on this. Other European countries are just beginning to see some H1N1 activity.
Swine flu: Pregnant Denise Murray who was killed by the bug in Scotland last year
'I am a little surprised to see as much activity as we seem to be seeing - both in terms of its spread in the community and its severity.
'I don't see it as being extraordinary but it is more than I would have expected.'
He added that that many people caught swine flu in the pandemic in the summer last year - but relatively few were affected.
There was a second smaller outbreak just before Christmas.

'A lot of people were infected through the two waves of the last pandemic. We estimate something like two thirds of children and half of adults are likely to have been infected even though they may have had no symptoms,' he said.
'We wouldn't anticipate a big epidemic wave of flu activity due to H1N1 this year. But there are still a substantial number of people who remain susceptible.'
There were 494 deaths from swine flu in Britain between the initial outbreak and April this year.
The number of people getting immunised against flu has fallen this winter - with 66 per cent of pensioners and 40 per cent of at risk adults getting the jab.
Professor David Salisbury, director of immunisation at the Department of Health, told the Independent: 'These figures demonstrate the effects of fly are not to be underestimated It is not the same as getting a cold and can seriously affect your health.
'The seasonal flu jab protects against the dominant strains - this year it protects against three types of flu, including the type known as swine flu.
'If you are in a risk group, then I would urge you to visit your GP surgery and get the vaccination as soon as possible. It is not too late to get vaccinated for your protection and that of your family.'


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... z17qMAjpMi



Dr. N, I came across this article as well. Norovirus is sweeping schools and hospital wards across the UK and believe the flu is not far behind (or is here already as the case maybe). I phoned NHS Direct tonight as my lungs now hurt where I have been coughing so much. The phlegm is disappearing but have this ache below my ribs to the left and right hand side. Voice is still hoarse as well. NHS direct said contact my GP Monday, good one, and told me to take paracetomol. I don't why I even bothered calling them. If the UK is going to take the centre stage for the flu at the moment I wouldn't like to know what the rest of the cast look like.

Last year, when I had lab confirmed H1N1 I started Tamiflu early and had significant improvement within 24 hours. However, I was coughing (non-productive) for 1 1/2 days and had sore ribs the next day. My entire family was infected (one daughter was tested and was also positive) with a wide array of symptoms (with and without fever), but we all had a very characteristic cough (non-productive), that improved with Tamiflu, but lingered at an annoying level for weeks.

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 8:40 am 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
niman wrote:
stephensons wrote:
niman wrote:
The swine flu virus which swept across Britain last year is back and has killed 10 adults in the last six weeks, it emerged today.

Some of the people who have died did not have underlying health conditions when they were hit by the illness.
A father-of-three, aged in his 30s, was on a life support machine today after being struck down by the H1N1 virus.
The Royal Mail worker was being treated at Southport and Formby District General Hospital, Merseyside, and was expected to be moved for specialist treatment.
This winter swine flu has travelled to other European countries who are seeing outbreaks of the virus for the first time.
The 10 people who have died were all adults under 65 and most, but not all, had some underlying health conditions, the Health Protection Agency said.
Experts today expressed surprise at the number of deaths caused by the H1N1 virus this winter.
But crucially the bug has not mutated into a more severe form or targeted the elderly who are most at risk from the virus.
However there have been a significant number of calls to NHS Direct - indicating there is quite a lot of swine flu around.

More...Norovirus cases soar as hospital outbreaks increase by 50 per cent in a month

Doctor John Watson, head of respiratory diseases at the Health Protection Agency said: 'We seem to be in the vanguard on this. Other European countries are just beginning to see some H1N1 activity.
Swine flu: Pregnant Denise Murray who was killed by the bug in Scotland last year
'I am a little surprised to see as much activity as we seem to be seeing - both in terms of its spread in the community and its severity.
'I don't see it as being extraordinary but it is more than I would have expected.'
He added that that many people caught swine flu in the pandemic in the summer last year - but relatively few were affected.
There was a second smaller outbreak just before Christmas.

'A lot of people were infected through the two waves of the last pandemic. We estimate something like two thirds of children and half of adults are likely to have been infected even though they may have had no symptoms,' he said.
'We wouldn't anticipate a big epidemic wave of flu activity due to H1N1 this year. But there are still a substantial number of people who remain susceptible.'
There were 494 deaths from swine flu in Britain between the initial outbreak and April this year.
The number of people getting immunised against flu has fallen this winter - with 66 per cent of pensioners and 40 per cent of at risk adults getting the jab.
Professor David Salisbury, director of immunisation at the Department of Health, told the Independent: 'These figures demonstrate the effects of fly are not to be underestimated It is not the same as getting a cold and can seriously affect your health.
'The seasonal flu jab protects against the dominant strains - this year it protects against three types of flu, including the type known as swine flu.
'If you are in a risk group, then I would urge you to visit your GP surgery and get the vaccination as soon as possible. It is not too late to get vaccinated for your protection and that of your family.'


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... z17qMAjpMi



Dr. N, I came across this article as well. Norovirus is sweeping schools and hospital wards across the UK and believe the flu is not far behind (or is here already as the case maybe). I phoned NHS Direct tonight as my lungs now hurt where I have been coughing so much. The phlegm is disappearing but have this ache below my ribs to the left and right hand side. Voice is still hoarse as well. NHS direct said contact my GP Monday, good one, and told me to take paracetomol. I don't why I even bothered calling them. If the UK is going to take the centre stage for the flu at the moment I wouldn't like to know what the rest of the cast look like.

Last year, when I had lab confirmed H1N1 I started Tamiflu early and had significant improvement within 24 hours. However, I was coughing (non-productive) for 1 1/2 days and had sore ribs the next day. My entire family was infected (one daughter was tested and was also positive) with a wide array of symptoms (with and without fever), but we all had a very characteristic cough (non-productive), that improved with Tamiflu, but lingered at an annoying level for weeks.


I'm not sure if I have/had H1N1, quite possibly, even though I had the vaccine a couple of mths ago (not sure if that means anything, anymore). There has been a 'cough thing' circulating here since late summer. Thanks for the commentary Dr N. The article below is very concerning though.

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/view/16 ... -outbreak/

SWINE FLU ON MARCH AGAIN: 10 DIE IN NEW BUG OUTBREAK

Quote:
ABOVE: Swine flu has hit Britain again and claimed the lives of ten people 12th December 2010 By Bill Francis

SWINE flu has hit Britain again and claimed the lives of ten people.

Several others are seriously ill in hospital.

The Health Protection Agency is warning that “influenza activity is increasing across the UK” and that “several outbreaks and ­severe hospitalised cases have been reported”.

The ten – all adults under 65 – died in the last six weeks. Most had underlying medical conditions.

And the Daily Star Sunday has learned that two pregnant women needed urgent treatment in a London hospital’s intensive care unit, though both are now recovering.

Swine flu – also known as H1N1 – is now one of the main flu strains found in Britain.

There have been 31 “acute respiratory disease outbreaks” since October, including eight school outbreaks and one in a military base in the first week of December alone

Mums-to-be are one of the major groups at risk from the virus. Symptoms include a fever, unusual tiredness, headache, runny nose, sore throat, shortness of breath, aching muscles, diarrhoea and vomiting.

When victims have other health issues or are pregnant the virus can cause complications and even death.

H1N1 killed more than 15,000 across the world after first being spotted in Mexico in March 2009, including at least 450 in the UK.
Health officials say the UK is much better placed to fight flu this year than during the 2009 swine flu global pandemic. They still have stockpiles of anti-viral drugs Tamiflu and Relenza.

And this year H1N1 was accounted for in the winter flu jabs available for the elderly, pregnant and others at risk.

But health experts have been worried by low uptake for the new jab.

Department of Health immunisation director Professor David Salisbury said: “It is vital we don’t underestimate the effects of this virus. It is not the same as getting a cold and it can seriously affect your health.


Quote:
There have been 31 “acute respiratory disease outbreaks” since October, including eight school outbreaks and one in a military base in the first week of December alone.

_________________
Praemonitus, Praemunitus..Forewarned is Forearmed.


Last edited by stephensons on Mon Dec 13, 2010 10:11 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 8:57 am 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... demic.html

Ten deaths raise fears of a new swine flu epidemic

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... z17txxL6nS

Quote:
By Jo Macfarlane
Last updated at 1:25 AM on 12th December 2010


Health Protection Agency (HPA) officials have confirmed the H1N1 virus is circulating again this winter
Ten people have died after contracting the swine flu virus in the past six weeks.

Health Protection Agency (HPA) officials have confirmed the H1N1 virus that caused last year’s global pandemic is circulating again this winter.

The deaths have occurred across England and most of those affected, although not all, had underlying health problems before coming into contact with the virus.

It is not known whether the victims died as a result of swine flu or because of complications related to their other conditions. Five of the ten adults had received the flu vaccine.

The HPA said a number of severe cases of swine flu were emerging, particularly among adults under the age of 65, which follows a similar pattern to last year’s outbreak.

Professor John Watson, the HPA’s head of respiratory diseases, said he was ‘surprised’ at the spread of the virus. He said: ‘It is more than I would have expected.’



Five out of ten received the vaccine. Right.

_________________
Praemonitus, Praemunitus..Forewarned is Forearmed.


Last edited by stephensons on Sun Dec 12, 2010 9:36 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 9:13 am 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales ... -27809994/

Quote:
...................................Last year the illness was linked to 28 deaths in Wales. More than 600 people were diagnosed with it.

It is understood no-one from Wales is among the recent deaths...............


I wonder if the majority of deaths were in England?

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Praemonitus, Praemunitus..Forewarned is Forearmed.


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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 9:42 am 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
Posts: 56044
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
stephensons wrote:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-1337882/Swine-flu-Ten-deaths-raise-fears-new-epidemic.html

Ten deaths raise fears of a new swine flu epidemic

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... z17txxL6nS

Quote:
By Jo Macfarlane
Last updated at 1:25 AM on 12th December 2010


Health Protection Agency (HPA) officials have confirmed the H1N1 virus is circulating again this winter
Ten people have died after contracting the swine flu virus in the past six weeks.

Health Protection Agency (HPA) officials have confirmed the H1N1 virus that caused last year’s global pandemic is circulating again this winter.

The deaths have occurred across England and most of those affected, although not all, had underlying health problems before coming into contact with the virus.

It is not known whether the victims died as a result of swine flu or because of complications related to their other conditions. Five of the ten adults had received the flu vaccine.

The HPA said a number of severe cases of swine flu were emerging, particularly among adults under the age of 65, which follows a similar pattern to last year’s outbreak.

Professor John Watson, the HPA’s head of respiratory diseases, said he was ‘surprised’ at the spread of the virus. He said: ‘It is more than I would have expected.’



Five out of ten received the vaccine. Right.

The fact that five of the ten were vaccinated is significant because that frequency is similar to the vaccination rate, indicating the vaccine is not providing a benefit (its like saying 50% of the population has brown hair and 50% of those who died from H1N1 have brown hair - i.e. hair color is not a factor on who does and doesn't die from H1N1).

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 11:16 am 
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Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5184
Location: East of London
niman wrote:
stephensons wrote:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-1337882/Swine-flu-Ten-deaths-raise-fears-new-epidemic.html

Ten deaths raise fears of a new swine flu epidemic

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/artic ... z17txxL6nS

Quote:
By Jo Macfarlane
Last updated at 1:25 AM on 12th December 2010


Health Protection Agency (HPA) officials have confirmed the H1N1 virus is circulating again this winter
Ten people have died after contracting the swine flu virus in the past six weeks.

Health Protection Agency (HPA) officials have confirmed the H1N1 virus that caused last year’s global pandemic is circulating again this winter.

The deaths have occurred across England and most of those affected, although not all, had underlying health problems before coming into contact with the virus.

It is not known whether the victims died as a result of swine flu or because of complications related to their other conditions. Five of the ten adults had received the flu vaccine.

The HPA said a number of severe cases of swine flu were emerging, particularly among adults under the age of 65, which follows a similar pattern to last year’s outbreak.

Professor John Watson, the HPA’s head of respiratory diseases, said he was ‘surprised’ at the spread of the virus. He said: ‘It is more than I would have expected.’



Five out of ten received the vaccine. Right.

The fact that five of the ten were vaccinated is significant because that frequency is similar to the vaccination rate, indicating the vaccine is not providing a benefit (its like saying 50% of the population has brown hair and 50% of those who died from H1N1 have brown hair - i.e. hair color is not a factor on who does and doesn't die from H1N1).


HPA report.http://www.hpa.org.uk/web/HPAwebFile/HP ... 7146267647

Quote:
Disease severity and mortality data
HPA receives weekly death registrations from the Office for
National Statistics. In week 47, an estimated 9,473 all-cause
deaths were registered, which was increased slightly from 9,437 in
week 46. This remains within expected levels for the time of year
(figure 8).
Several severe cases of influenza have been reported in the last
two weeks resulting in an increase in ITU-bed occupancy and in
the provision of beds used for Extra-Corporeal Membrane
Oxygenation (ECMO). The majority of these patients are aged
under 65 years. Since week 36, ten deaths associated with
influenza infection have been reported in the UK. None of the five
fatal cases with information available had received the 2010/11
seasonal influenza, or the 2009 monovalent pandemic influenza


On the other side at FT :hello: RoRo

Quote:
The reporter in the story in post #13 incorrectly states;
"Five of the ten adults had received the flu vaccine."

This is not what has been reported by the HPA. The HPA reports that vaccination information was available only for 5 cases and that each of those was unvaccinated. There is no available information on the other 5.

"None of the five fatal cases with information available had received the 2010/11 seasonal influenza, or the 2009 monovalent pandemic influenza vaccine."

http://www.hpa.org.uk/web/HPAwebFile.../1287146267647

This mistake is now being picked up and propagated - next thing we know there will be cries of "vaccine escape". Oh Dear.



Bit confused?? :scratch:

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 Post subject: Re: UK
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 11:30 am 
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Joined: Thu Dec 10, 2009 1:14 pm
Posts: 548
Exactly, there's no information available for the other five victims. Right now, we know that 5 out of 10 were unvaccinated and for the rest of the dead vaccination status remains unknown.


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