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" we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

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snatamur

Post subject: " we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:44 pm

Joined: Thu Aug 20, 2009 11:56 am
Posts: 405

"A SWINE flu cluster has broken out in a Territory town, with at least 29 cases detected over the past week."

http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2010/0 ... tnews.html

:hello:

Swine Flu News Portal

http://my.opera.com/SavedNotFried/blog/ ... l/13396222

http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/

Can't tell whether this is current, I have seen it now 06/30/2010 in many places..Welcome back Dr. Niman!

Last edited by snatamur on Wed Jun 30, 2010 11:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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niman

Post subject: Re: " we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

Posted: Wed Jun 30, 2010 3:54 pm

Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
Posts: 27289
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA

snatamur wrote:

"A SWINE flu cluster has broken out in a Territory town, with at least 29 cases detected over the past week."

http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2010/0 ... tnews.html

:hello:

Swine Flu News Portal

Calendar check

_________________
www.twitter.com/hniman

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stephensons

Post subject: Re: " we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

Posted: Wed Jun 30, 2010 4:06 pm

Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2010 3:22 pm
Posts: 5180
Location: East of London

Aha, Dr Niman. Welcome Back!

_________________
Praemonitus, Praemunitus..Forewarned is Forearmed.

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snatamur

Post subject: Re: " we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

Posted: Thu Jul 01, 2010 12:03 am

Joined: Thu Aug 20, 2009 11:56 am
Posts: 405

This looks more current, The search was for nhulunbuy the town mentioned in the article, which appears to be from last year? Ref

http://balita.ph/2010/07/01/australia-r ... community/

Panvax mentioned in the original article was not approved yet, according to this (below)
http://www.csl.com.au/docs/288/844/Panv ... %20TGA.pdf

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markmark9

Post subject: Re: " we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

Posted: Thu Jul 01, 2010 5:25 am

Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 7:22 am
Posts: 73

Looks current, ABC Australia reported it as well.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/06/30/2941247.htm

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markmark9

Post subject: Re: " we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 5:17 am

Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 7:22 am
Posts: 73

Report No. 25
Reporting period 19 to 25 June 2010

http://www.healthemergency.gov.au/internet/healthemergency/publishing.nsf/Content/ozflucurrent.htm

Summary

NT have reported a significant cluster of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 cases in the East Arnhem region, including 29 cases and two hospitalisations.

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Dingo

Post subject: Re: " we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 6:09 am

Joined: Sat Jan 30, 2010 2:44 am
Posts: 887

markmark9 wrote:

Not doubting the report, but intuitively wouldn't you expect the early outbreaks to be in the south if swine is now following the seasonal flu pattern?

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markmark9

Post subject: Re: " we don't know if it's the start of the flu season"

Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 6:46 am

Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 7:22 am
Posts: 73

Good observation, something I have been thinking about.

The ILI activity, by state and territory is showing local or regional for NT, hard to make out the shades.

I was thinking that this could be due to a couple of reasons.

Either the virus not reaching the more remote or less dense areas last year in Australia, or increased transmission from closely neighbouring South East Asian countries that have had outbreaks recently.

Late July and early August have seen the biggest Influenza peaks for Australia in the past. From US reports pandemic H1N1 didn't fall into a seasonal trend as the peak was in October.

From memory Cairns in far north Queensland had an outbreak around the same as Victoria in the south took off last year, but it was earlier.

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