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PostPosted: Thu Jan 17, 2013 11:47 am 
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Week 2 P&I Spikes to 8.26% (last week was 7.29%)

http://wonder.cdc.gov/mmwr/mmwr_reps.as ... +Locations

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 17, 2013 11:54 am 
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TABLE III. Deaths in 122 U.S. cities*,
week ending January 12, 2013


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Reporting
Area All Causes, by Age (Years) Pneumonia and
Influenza
All Ages** >=65 45-64 25-44 1-24 Less than 1
NEW ENGLAND 786 574 172 19 11 10 120
Boston, Mass. 212 147 48 9 5 3 28
Bridgeport, Conn. 55 43 8 2 - 2 8
Cambridge, Mass. 16 14 2 - - - 1
Fall River, Mass. 44 34 9 - 1 - 2
Hartford, Conn. 68 54 10 - 4 - 10
Lowell, Mass. 33 26 6 - 1 - 6
Lynn, Mass. 10 7 3 - - - -
New Bedford, Mass. 39 33 5 1 - - 3
New Haven, Conn. 36 25 9 2 - - 6
Providence, R.I. 76 49 23 1 - 3 7
Somerville, Mass. 1 1 - - - - -
Springfield, Mass. 49 34 13 1 - 1 11
Waterbury, Conn. 43 32 9 1 - 1 3
Worcester, Mass. 104 75 27 2 - - 35
MID. ATLANTIC 2,358 1,679 500 113 41 25 159
Albany, N.Y. 66 52 9 2 1 2 7
Allentown, Pa. 35 29 4 1 - 1 3
Buffalo, N.Y. 122 82 31 5 1 3 12
Camden, N.J. 41 32 5 3 - 1 1
Elizabeth, N.J. 22 10 8 4 - - 2
Erie, Pa.*** 83 61 17 3 2 - 3
Jersey City, N.J. 21 15 4 2 - - 1
New York City, N.Y. 1,483 1,050 317 70 29 17 94
Newark, N.J. 40 17 16 1 5 1 2
Paterson, N.J. 25 14 6 4 1 - -
Philadelphia, Pa. U U U U U U U
Pittsburgh, Pa.*** 46 32 11 3 - - 2
Reading, Pa. 34 26 5 3 - - 6
Rochester, N.Y. 93 71 18 4 - - 4
Schenectady, N.Y. 29 22 6 - 1 - 6
Scranton, Pa.*** 42 37 4 1 - - 3
Syracuse, N.Y. 82 61 18 3 - - 10
Trenton, N.J. 46 33 10 3 - - -
Utica, N.Y. 21 12 7 1 1 - 3
Yonkers, N.Y. 27 23 4 - - - -
E.N. CENTRAL 2,910 2,000 657 158 54 41 223
Akron, Ohio 76 58 13 1 2 2 12
Canton, Ohio 49 28 14 6 - 1 6
Chicago, Ill. 284 179 69 24 7 5 15
Cincinnati, Ohio 104 63 29 4 4 4 5
Cleveland, Ohio 399 296 80 16 4 3 25
Columbus, Ohio 300 216 63 11 4 6 27
Dayton, Ohio 181 145 25 8 2 1 23
Detroit, Mich. 264 157 81 17 7 2 20
Evansville, Ind. 54 39 10 3 1 1 3
Fort Wayne, Ind. 122 96 22 1 3 - 5
Gary, Ind. 18 15 2 1 - - 1
Grand Rapids, Mich. 94 65 18 6 3 2 9
Indianapolis, Ind. 298 183 84 23 6 2 26
Lansing, Mich. 101 69 24 6 1 1 11
Milwaukee, Wis. 117 74 34 7 1 1 11
Peoria, Ill. 83 54 18 5 2 4 8
Rockford, Ill. 80 55 18 5 2 - 7
South Bend, Ind. 70 47 16 3 1 3 4
Toledo, Ohio 129 85 30 9 4 1 3
Youngstown, Ohio 87 76 7 2 - 2 2
W.N. CENTRAL 825 571 181 41 20 10 64
Des Moines, Iowa 73 57 13 3 - - 3
Duluth, Minn. 38 31 7 - - - 7
Kansas City, Kans. 41 21 16 2 2 - 1
Kansas City, Mo. 133 87 31 11 2 2 6
Lincoln, Nebr. 47 43 1 2 1 - 1
Minneapolis, Minn. 73 51 17 4 1 - 7
Omaha, Nebr. 135 99 31 2 1 2 18
St. Louis, Mo. 86 45 24 6 6 3 5
St. Paul, Minn. 105 78 18 5 3 1 11
Wichita, Kans. 94 59 23 6 4 2 5
S. ATLANTIC 1,040 692 239 61 34 14 90
Atlanta, Ga. 180 108 51 9 10 2 13
Baltimore, Md. - - - - - - -
Charlotte, N.C. 215 154 42 11 4 4 31
Jacksonville, Fla. 164 103 46 10 3 2 11
Miami, Fla. 3 3 - - - - -
Norfolk, Va. 62 39 14 4 2 3 3
Richmond, Va. 101 67 23 7 4 - 6
Savannah, Ga. 99 78 16 3 2 - 7
St. Petersburg, Fla. 60 44 12 4 - - 7
Tampa, Fla. 5 2 2 - 1 - -
Washington, D.C. 140 89 29 11 8 3 12
Wilmington, Del. 11 5 4 2 - - -
E.S. CENTRAL 1,242 828 289 71 24 30 123
Birmingham, Ala. 239 168 45 13 3 10 28
Chattanooga, Tenn. 69 43 16 6 3 1 1
Knoxville, Tenn. 161 106 44 9 1 1 21
Lexington, Ky. 89 54 27 6 1 1 2
Memphis, Tenn. 245 164 53 11 8 9 25
Mobile, Ala. 129 90 26 8 3 2 3
Montgomery, Ala. 90 52 24 7 4 3 9
Nashville, Tenn. 220 151 54 11 1 3 34
W.S. CENTRAL 1,886 1,149 514 136 46 41 131
Austin, Tex. 138 89 28 11 5 5 12
Baton Rouge, La. 103 66 23 8 1 5 3
Corpus Christi, Tex. 60 42 10 4 4 - 7
Dallas, Tex. 285 167 86 15 9 8 25
El Paso, Tex. 102 70 22 8 1 1 8
Ft. Worth, Tex. U U U U U U U
Houston, Tex. 410 224 122 41 14 9 15
Little Rock, Ark. 185 105 56 11 7 6 8
New Orleans, La. 68 36 21 7 2 2 2
San Antonio, Tex. 359 224 102 26 2 5 35
Shreveport, La. 78 46 28 3 1 - 7
Tulsa, Okla. 98 80 16 2 - - 9
MOUNTAIN 1,419 977 317 75 29 20 116
Albuquerque, N.M. 128 94 20 8 4 2 13
Boise, Idaho 76 51 14 8 2 1 7
Colo. Springs, Colo. 85 61 12 9 1 2 4
Denver, Colo. 99 60 31 4 3 1 4
Las Vegas, Nev. 373 263 91 11 8 - 38
Ogden, Utah 47 32 13 - - 2 5
Phoenix, Ariz. 250 148 64 27 6 4 22
Pueblo, Colo. 41 26 13 1 1 - -
Salt Lake City, Utah 154 118 24 2 4 6 18
Tucson, Ariz. 166 124 35 5 - 2 5
PACIFIC 2,212 1,575 460 110 39 28 187
Berkeley, Calif. 14 6 4 1 1 2 -
Fresno, Calif. 178 123 42 8 4 1 13
Glendale, Calif. 39 33 5 1 - - 6
Honolulu, Hawaii 56 44 10 1 - 1 5
Long Beach, Calif. 82 53 23 3 1 2 8
Los Angeles, Calif. 322 218 73 24 3 4 39
Pasadena, Calif. 38 30 6 1 1 - 5
Portland, Oreg. 173 112 47 10 2 2 9
Sacramento, Calif. 277 191 62 13 8 3 25
San Diego, Calif. 235 179 42 8 4 2 20
San Francisco, Calif. 144 105 29 7 - 3 8
San Jose, Calif. 250 184 43 17 4 2 18
Santa Cruz, Calif. 49 33 16 - - - 8
Seattle, Wash. 152 110 28 7 3 4 11
Spokane, Wash. 72 53 12 5 - 2 4
Tacoma, Wash. 131 101 18 4 8 - 8
TOTAL 14,678 10,045 3,329 784 298 219 1,213

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 17, 2013 12:12 pm 
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Week 1 chart
Image

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 17, 2013 12:47 pm 
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Commentary

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/01171 ... Spike.html

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 17, 2013 3:48 pm 
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Dr Niman,
The Wk 2 side of the chart has been cut off both in the Commentary and the post below,
Regards
Kangaroo


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 17, 2013 4:24 pm 
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Kangaroo wrote:
Dr Niman,
The Wk 2 side of the chart has been cut off both in the Commentary and the post below,
Regards
Kangaroo

The figure on this thread and in the commentary is from week 1. The week 2 chart will not be available until tomorrow. The week 1 chart shows that week 52 was just below the threshold and week 1 is just above. It also puts the 8.3% into perspective. The week 2 data will be very obvious tomorrow when the week 2 FluView is public. The 8.26% was calculated from the MMWR table which has the number of P&I deaths as well as the total number of deaths for the 122 largest cities in the US.

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 12:23 pm 
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Kangaroo wrote:
Dr Niman,
The Wk 2 side of the chart has been cut off both in the Commentary and the post below,
Regards
Kangaroo

See below

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 12:24 pm 
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Image

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 10:08 pm 
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Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
CDC: Flu Deaths Increase "Sharply" As Epidemic Continues

(CBS News) A flu epidemic continues to hit the United States, according to newly released statistics from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

For the week of January 6-12, 8.2 percent of all deaths were tied to influenza and pneumonia, the CDC reported, which exceeds the 7.2 percent threshold used to measure an epidemic. Last week 7.3 percent of deaths were attributed to flu and pneumonia. The CDC called the rise in proportion of flu-related deaths a sharp increase.

Forty-eight states are seeing widespread flu activity, meaning more than 50 percent of its counties are reporting flu, while 30 states and New York City experienced high activity of influenza-like illness. Illnesses appear to be increasing in the West, and the only two states not showing widespread activity are Tennessee and Hawaii.

"The bottom line is that the flu season continues," CDC director Dr. Tom Frieden, told reporters during a Friday conference call. "We're in the middle of flu season, about half way through."

Last week's report showed widespread flu activity in 47 states and high activity of "influenza like illness" in 24 states and New York City. At the time of that report, the CDC thought the virus may have peaked for some regions including the South and Southeast, however the agency noted the numbers may not provide a complete picture because they detailed disease activity during holiday season, a time people may be less likely to see doctors.

A complete list of the new state-by-state flu information can be found on the CDC's website.

Also over the past week, nine more pediatric deaths were reported, raising the total to 29. In the last 10 flu seasons, between 43 and 153 children have died from flu in the United States, according to the FDA. The CDC does not track adult deaths related to flu, but noted in its report that a high proportion of deaths in people 65 and older are occurring.

"Even a single death in a child is one too many," said Frieden.

This year's predominant flu strain is H3N2, the CDC said; 153 children died during the 2003-2004 flu season when it was a particularly bad year for that strain.

The agency does track flu-associated hospitalizations, and found about 19 per 100,000 Americans are getting hospitalized for influenza-like illness. Based on hospitalization rates, the elderly are being hit hardest: About 82 per 100,000 people 65 and older are being hospitalized with flu-like illness.

"These rates are undoubtedly an underestimate," said Frieden. He added that H3N2 flu tends to be more severe for the elderly, and these hospitalization rates are comparable to previous flu seasons when H3N2 was the predominant strain.

Frieden explained that flu-related statistics come in waves, so increasing rates of disease and hospitalizations will likely be followed by increases in flu-related deaths.

That's why early treatment with an antiviral such as Tamiflu and Relenza is so important, according to CDC. When given promptly within 48 hours of disease onset, the drugs can reduce symptoms and duration of illness, and reduce the risk for hospitalization and death, Frieden said. For high-risk patients such as the elderly, young children and those with asthma or underlying diseases, the treatments can mean the difference between a mild illness or a trip to the intensive care unit.

Dr. Margaret Hamburg, commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, told reporters during the conference call that some areas of the country are experiencing shortages of liquid Tamiflu, shortages that may persist for the remainder of the flu season. The liquid formulation is most often given to children.

Because of these shortages, Hamburg reported that Tamiflu-maker Genenetech has received permission to release 2 million more units of Tamiflu pills, which pharmacists can then use to create liquid formulations for children. She said the FDA will continue to update the public on antiviral supply through its website.

The CDC and FDA also reported spot shortages of vaccines during Friday's conference call. Companies that provide the vaccine were projected to give out 135 million doses of vaccine for this flu season, and to date 129 million doses have been distributed. Hamburg said another 10 million doses will be distributed, raising the total to 145 million flu vaccines; however, some formulations of the vaccine may be harder to come by. Doctors will be able to order more flu vaccines, she said, and people looking for shots should use the interactive map on Flu.gov to find available doses.

Last week, the CDC's new flu numbers coincided with the release of a study that looked at less than 1,200 patients and found the flu vaccine was 62 percent effective.

Has the flu epidemic peaked?.Dr. William Schaffner, chair of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University and immediate-past president of the National Foundation for Infectious Diseases, told CBSNews.com this Tuesday that the figure means the vaccine will prevent flu completely 62 percent of the time. However, that doesn't mean people who got the shot won't get sick.

Dr. Adam Stracher, director of the primary care division of the Weill Cornell Physician Organization at Weill Cornell Medical College, told CBSNews.com this week that, "While it may not be 100 percent effective, even in those patients who get the flu after getting the flu vaccine, they tend to have a milder illness than patients who haven't gotten the flu vaccine."

Other helpful tips to reduce your risk for flu include proper hand-washing, coughing into your elbow, avoiding contact with sick people and keeping your hands out of your eyes, nose and mouth.

http://www.wibw.com/home/nationalnews/h ... 35681.html

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 11:48 am 
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Below are the two regions and 16 cities that have at lesast 10 P&I deaths and a rate above 10% in the week 2 MMWR

NEW ENGLAND 15.2%
PACIFIC 11.9%

Springfield MA 22.4%
Knoxville TN 17.4%
Akron OH 15.8%
Nashville TN 15.4%
Hartford CT 14.7%
Charlotte NC 14.4%
Omaha OH 13.3%
Boston MA 13.2%
Dayton OH 12.7%
Syracuse NY 12.2%
Los Angeles 12.1%
Birmingham AL 11.7%
Lansing MI 10.9%
Albuquerque 10.2%
Las Vegas NV 10.2%
Memphis TN 10.2%

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