Rhiza Labs FluTracker Forum

Please.

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www.twitter.com/hniman

Reality check. The easiest way to see the H1N1 deaths is to list the P&I deaths by age, which is data that the CDC withholds. That data is known, because the P&I deaths are included in the age distribution columns, but mixed in with the other deaths to create a major signal to noise problem.

However, for El Paso the 24 deaths in week 15 are the highest in the past 15 years for any week in El Paso. Similarly, the 43 deaths for weeks 14 and 15 are the highest two week total for the period, as are the 51 for the highest 3 week total. Moreover, the record numbers in 2011 were for weeks when overall influenza numbers for the state of Texas, as well as all of the US were in steep decline. In addition, H1N1 has been recently confirmed in El Paso and across the border in Juarez, including sequences from Juarez fatal cases, including 2 of 11 Chihuahua sub-clade sequences with D225N, and 5 more withheld.

The data are quite clear, no hand waving or claims of coincidence required.

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www.twitter.com/hniman

Actually looking at the data, it is going down and will probably do so. This GSGS person seems very nice, why his he constantly bashed. He seems to be more realistic
Dr Niman than you.

The spike in deaths was pretty easy to see. GSGS filled up the board with data which really didn't add anything. He is constantly calling strong data coincidences and initially claimed that the excess deaths were in older patients which wasn't based on any data. He wanted to prove he was correct by taking bets, which has been his latest approach to claim that his make believe probabilities have some basis in fact.

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www.twitter.com/hniman

CAAPS Aguilas disappeared in week 15 report

http://nmhealth.org/flu/documents/Weekl ... 1.Wk15.pdf

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www.twitter.com/hniman

Clinic Patients seen week ending: 04/16/2011 Patients with ILI this week (n; % of this week’s total): Patients with ILI last week (n; % of last week’s total):
Chihuahua CAAPS Anapra 914 2 0.2% 2 0.2% Centro Salud “B” 1068 2 0.2% 50 4.6% CSHS, Nuevo Casas Grandes 91 1 1.1% 3 3.2% CSHS, Ojinaga No report - - - -
New Mexico BAHC, Deming 189 0 0.0% 0 0.0% BAHC, Dona Ana 412 0 0.0% 0 0.0% HMS, Lordsburg 183 2 1.1% 0 0.0% LCDF, Chaparral 160 0 0.0% 0 0.0% LCDF, Sunland 175 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Texas Alpine 68 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Fort Stockton No report - - - - Marfa Community Health 66 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Presidio Medical 78 0 0.0% 0 0.0% UTEP Student Health No report - - - - Totals: 3404 7 0.2% 55 1.6%

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www.twitter.com/hniman

niman hates gsgs and is trying to chase him away because gsgs opposes niman's recombination theory

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !

Most of GSGS posts are utter nonsense, like the one above.

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www.twitter.com/hniman

more than average ?

how comes it that recombination-fans are not nimanesed
in recombination unrelated posts

coincidence ?

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !

last season Texas weekly published flu hospitalizations,
ICU-admissions and deaths by "Health Service Region"
(El Paso is region 9/10)

http://www.dshs.state.tx.us/idcu/diseas ... 0/week_20/

they still receive the reports from the regions this season but don't publish the details
http://www.dshs.state.tx.us/idcu/diseas ... lance/2011
Reports from Health Service Regions
Reports were received from all Health Service Regions (HSRs) for week 16. HSRs 4/5N, 6/5S, and 8 reported the same level of flu activity compared to week 15. All other HSRs reported a decreased level of flu activity compared to week 15

but nevertheless the ILI-ratio increased from 2.20 to 2.44

the youngerly(0-4)ratio increased to 0.42

0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.30,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.30,0.42

(whole Texas, ILI-peak in week 7 with lowest youngerly-ratio)

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !