Rhiza Labs FluTracker Forum

I have posted arguments on why the IL case is recent, as well as why both cases would be in in the same WHO pager alert.

I haven't seen much on the other side. I have seen some nonsense on other boards about infleunza changing all the time, while ignoring the fact that sustained transmission of swine H3N2 in humans has never been documented previously.

Commentary

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/11111 ... L_CDC.html

Well, your arguments on why these two cases are in the same WHO pager alert are relatively acceptable, but not absolutely true. I have to say the same; more data is needed. Not just the same reports cycling all over eastern Europe.

A sustained transmission of swine H3N2 would suggest a new pandemic has begun, but we don't know exactly what segments have re-assorted and even if H2H has occurred. That's the reason I don't like the title of this thread, almost assuring a pandemic is on its way.

I wonder if the H3N2 outbreak in Japan is also related to this new strain. Reports describe a higher transmissibility than usual, a higher CFR and some patients who develop pneumonia and then deteriorate rapidly leading to death. Right now, we have 3 in serious condition.

Of note is that some adjacent prefectures are reaching epidemic levels.

Release of sequences of Akita cluster and novel H3N2 cases in the U.S is vital to take the necessary measures and prepare for another *pandemic*

Well, your arguments on why these two cases are in the same WHO pager alert are relatively acceptable, but not absolutely true. I have to say the same; more data is needed. Not just the same reports cycling all over eastern Europe.

A sustained transmission of swine H3N2 would suggest a new pandemic has begun, but we don't know exactly what segments have re-assorted and even if H2H has occurred. That's the reason I don't like the title of this thread, almost assuring a pandemic is on its way.

In Ukraine is a new flu virus - H3N2

"California," influenza, popularly known as pork, in Ukraine this year, doctors are regarded as seasonal. However, the expected emergence of a new strain of influenza H3N2, which will circulate the country.
But while experts advise not to panic. A new influenza virus H3N2, say like "California Flu", and in Ukraine already has a vaccine against it.

Grip H3N2
"The symptoms are the same as for ordinary flu, that is, fever, central nervous system, ie a person feeling unwell. May all be manifestations characteristic of normal influenza. That is, anything they do not differ, - said Deputy Director of the Ukrainian Centre for influenza and acute respiratory Irina Markovic.

In general, doctors predict, this year's seasonal influenza (not H3N2) pereboleyut about 4-5 million Ukrainians. While that of 2009, the number of bolevshih flu in Ukraine has reached almost 8 million people. However, in the near future influenza pandemic should not expect, experts say.
"If we take the previous week, the threshold incidence was 62 per 10,000 population. We have not reached before the epidemic threshold by more than 20%", - said Vladimir Zagorodnii (control on the organization of therapeutic and preventive care KSCA).
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian Ministry of Health urged vaccinated against influenza (including those against influenza H3N2). Make it convincing, it is necessary before winter. In Ukraine today, mark, registered 7 vaccines for vaccination against influenza. In particular, there is a vaccine against the new strain of influenza H3N2.
So beware of a new influenza strain H3N2!!!