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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 6:02 pm 
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Location: Idabel, OK
I was expecting new WHO Ebola numbers on Monday but it's almost the end of Tuesday and still no numbers?


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 8:03 pm 
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Yes, data is normally out on MON for the 3 days THU-FRI-SAT, out WED for SUN-MON and out FRI for TUES-WED: WHO is now over a day late, as they were last week, but then the release was during the day TUES. It's past midnight in Africa and past 1 AM in Geneva - don't know where they do their numbers - but probably no new case/death report coming for today 8-26.

Last weeks 4 country data released a day late on TUES 8-19 included only 1 or 2 of the 3 days for Liberia's numbers. Since Liberia had been contributing 75% +/- of the 4 country totals each 2 or 3 day period, this had the effect of reducing the 4 country new case/death totals by 25 to 50%. WHO's explanation on the 8-19 report was this ASTERISK NOTE:

"* Information from Liberia, throughout this update, is from 15 August, 2014". (This could be read that they dropped data from TWO days, 8-14 and 8-16.?)

Later they added only 12 new cases and 15 deaths for the missing 1 or 2 days, when new cases had been averaging 63/day and deaths 48/day, and they later added only this explanation to the 8-19 report:

"+ Data for Liberia was not correctly reported on 19 August. The numbers have been corrected on 21 August 2014."

http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_08_19_ebola/en/

I'll report the net effect of their omissions and 'corrections' when we see the data for 8-14-15-16.


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 8:07 pm 
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Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
franzpick wrote:
Yes, data is normally out on MON for the 3 days THU-FRI-SAT, out WED for SUN-MON and out FRI for TUES-WED: WHO is now over a day late, as they were last week, but then the release was during the day TUES. It's past midnight in Africa and past 1 AM in Geneva - don't know where they do their numbers - but probably no new case/death report coming for today 8-26.

Last weeks 4 country data released a day late on TUES 8-19 included only 1 or 2 of the 3 days for Liberia's numbers. Since Liberia had been contributing 75% +/- of the 4 country totals each 2 or 3 day period, this had the effect of reducing the 4 country new case/death totals by 25 to 50%. WHO's explanation on the 8-19 report was this ASTERISK NOTE:

"* Information from Liberia, throughout this update, is from 15 August, 2014". (This could be read that they dropped data from TWO days, 8-14 and 8-16.?)

Later they added only 12 new cases and 15 deaths for the missing 1 or 2 days, when new cases had been averaging 63/day and deaths 48/day, and they later added only this explanation to the 8-19 report:

"+ Data for Liberia was not correctly reported on 19 August. The numbers have been corrected on 21 August 2014."

http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_08_19_ebola/en/

I'll report the net effect of their omissions and 'corrections' when we see the data for 8-14-15-16.

Welcome to the flutracker! Look forward to your updates.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 10:54 pm 
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Thanks Dr. Niman, and very educated by your 2 radio hours with Rense last night.

W.H.O. may have become overwhelmed on how to also deal with recent 100 plus DRC Congo 'non-Ebola' deaths following EVD type symptoms, and then today's EVD new case and death totals from Congo, now the 5th infected country: 13 dead, 5 of them HC Workers, 2 positive EVD confirmations, and the startling 565/FIVE-HUNDRED-SIXTY-FIVE 'suspected cases' with gastroenteritis, diarrhea and vomiting being investigated.

Reporting of the 1918 "Spanish" (Fort Riley KA) flu, that infected 500 MIL and killed 50 MIL plus worldwide, was censored in the U.S, Britain, Germany and France. Today's similar absence of print and broadcast media coverage of the current 'West Africa EVD-Congo' virus spread makes your expertise and reporting all that more important.


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 11:28 pm 
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Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
franzpick wrote:
Thanks Dr. Niman, and very educated by your 2 radio hours with Rense last night.

W.H.O. may have become overwhelmed on how to also deal with recent 100 plus DRC Congo 'non-Ebola' deaths following EVD type symptoms, and then today's EVD new case and death totals from Congo, now the 5th infected country: 13 dead, 5 of them HC Workers, 2 positive EVD confirmations, and the startling 565/FIVE-HUNDRED-SIXTY-FIVE 'suspected cases' with gastroenteritis, diarrhea and vomiting being investigated.

Reporting of the 1918 "Spanish" (Fort Riley KA) flu, that infected 500 MIL and killed 50 MIL plus worldwide, was censored in the U.S, Britain, Germany and France. Today's similar absence of print and broadcast media coverage of the current 'West Africa EVD-Congo' virus spread makes your expertise and reporting all that more important.

The number lab confirmed is now 4 and the absence of WHO updates is a significant concern.

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/08261 ... 3_565.html

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PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2014 12:46 am 
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Imagine WHO's imponderable task of how to add in reports of 'new case' EVD symptomatics missing from home and having fled to the countryside, and reports of those becoming EVD victims and having been personally washed and given unreported burials by their family members in remote locations. The WHO statisticians are waking up just now 8-28 and preparing to finalize their best estimates of 'new cases/deaths' for a short 3 day period, the longer-period reality of which probably won't become known for years.


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PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2014 12:54 pm 
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Joined: Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:57 pm
Posts: 237
Quote:
The number lab confirmed is now 4 and the absence of WHO updates is a significant concern


Yes - significant concern is right...

Went to post the numbers this morning, since they were absent yesterday, for the fourth (4) day. Was astounded to see that there were no new numbers posted; simply an article about Congo's patient zero and 565 cases suspects investigated with gastroenteritis, diarrhea and vomiting. The CDC list of symptoms sounds a lot like what the WHO has identified in the Congo:

"Symptoms of Ebola typically include

Fever (greater than 38.6°C or 101.5°F)
Severe headache
Muscle pain
Weakness
Diarrhea
Vomiting
Abdominal (stomach) pain
Lack of appetite

Symptoms may appear anywhere from 2 to 21 days after exposure to ebolavirus, although 8-10 days is most common."

But, I am sure that they are not connected.

Last numbers were 5 days ago... and they have not released any sequences, which I think is also "odd". Just my opinion... but something smells fishy...


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PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2014 1:02 pm 
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:42 am
Posts: 56044
Location: Pittsburgh, PA USA
sgrondahl wrote:
Quote:
The number lab confirmed is now 4 and the absence of WHO updates is a significant concern


Yes - significant concern is right...

Went to post the numbers this morning, since they were absent yesterday, for the fourth (4) day. Was astounded to see that there were no new numbers posted; simply an article about Congo's patient zero and 565 cases suspects investigated with gastroenteritis, diarrhea and vomiting. The CDC list of symptoms sounds a lot like what the WHO has identified in the Congo:

"Symptoms of Ebola typically include

Fever (greater than 38.6°C or 101.5°F)
Severe headache
Muscle pain
Weakness
Diarrhea
Vomiting
Abdominal (stomach) pain
Lack of appetite

Symptoms may appear anywhere from 2 to 21 days after exposure to ebolavirus, although 8-10 days is most common."

But, I am sure that they are not connected.

Last numbers were 5 days ago... and they have not released any sequences, which I think is also "odd". Just my opinion... but something smells fishy...

Daily numbers from Sierra Leone are posted here
viewtopic.php?f=21&t=12041

_________________
www.twitter.com/hniman


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