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 Post subject: let's make a flu-survey
PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 8:26 am 
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MyName1: can't we gather some info, make statistics: where and how people got it ? How to attract people to report this, to fill in a short questionnaire, how to make them to find it ? Is there such a webpage already ? Why doesn't CDC have it

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 10:11 am 
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Ok tell me how you are going to know how and where you 'got it'? The incubation period is a few days, so by the time you get sick are you going to know whether you got it from the shopping cart handle or the cash you received back at the 7/11 or from the guy coughing on the bus or the person next to you in class or the guy delivering your mail or...


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 12:41 pm 
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give the most likely source with a probability

for some(many?) people it will be clear : contact with a known case

some may have had few contacts outside : boarding school, military,...
in households it's also often clear

in a few cases they may be quite certain that they got it from fomites.
Find those cases.

Even the cases where they don't know where they got it from are useful,
get the time and date and other cases in that region.


I think a popular webpage which collects these reports would be useful
Preferably with discussion forum and free access to results

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 3:43 pm 
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It will still just be speculation. Is that helpful? Information abounds about possible ways to contract the disease, so surveying those infected with what THEY think was their exposure will provide only their interpretation rather than any valid fact of where the infection came from.

How will this information be useful?


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:58 pm 
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that's statitics.
You won't judge the election outcome on a single
statement, yet the opinion polls are very exact.

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no patents on genes, publish the GISAID sequences !


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 9:10 pm 
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This is moving well beyond feedback about this forum. I'm going to lock this thread now.

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